TEN logo
TEN
4-8
28
27
MIA
9-3
MIA logo
TBD
Hard Rock Stadium
64°F
9 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Titans
0
10
3
15
28
Dolphins
1
0
3
17
21

Spread

TEN logo
+14

Total

OVER
45

Game Statistics

General
Titans logo
Dolphins logo
Total Yards
405
366
Total Plays
69
69
Yards / Play
5.9
5.3
EPA / Play
+0.04
+0.03
Passing Yards
322
208
Comp/Att
23/39(59%)
23/33(70%)
Yards / Pass
8.3
6.3
EPA / Pass
+0.22
-0.23
Rushing Yards
83
158
Rush Attempts
29
31
Yards / Rush
2.9
5.1
EPA / Rush
-0.19
+0.15
Downs & Conversions
Titans logo
Dolphins logo
1st Downs
22
20
Passing 1st downs
16
9
Rushing 1st downs
5
10
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
38%
31%
3rd Down Conversions
5
4
3rd Down Attempts
13
13
Red Zone %
60%
40%
Red Zone Conversions
3
2
Red Zone Attempts
5
5
Negative Plays
Titans logo
Dolphins logo
Turnovers
2
2
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
1
2
Turnover EPA
-10.92
+0.03
Sacks
1
5
Sack Yards
-7
-32
Sack EPA
-2.03
-12.22
Penalties
9
7
Penalty Yards
59
61
Penalty EPA
-6.48
-5.74

Game Preview

nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game

Model

Projected Winner
MIA logo
MIAFavored
Opening
-12.5
Current
-14.0
Model
-14.0

Win Probability

Market87.3%
Model87.3%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+324
Home nfelo
1,670
Away nfelo
1,444
Home Field
+37.3
Base HFA
+45.4
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
-8.1
Net QB Adjustment
+61.3
Home QB Adjustment
+19.9
Away QB Adjustment
-41.4
Market Regression
+45.5
Final Difference
334.9
Model Spread
-14.0

Quarterbacks

Team Matchup Ranks

Titans Offense vs Dolphins Defense
Titans logo
Dolphins logo

Total

Points / Game
27
22
Yards / Game
28
11
Passing Yards / Game
18
24
Rushing Yards / Game
18
7

EPA

EPA / Play
16
22
EPA / Pass
21
13
EPA / Rush
13
16

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
18
29
Interceptions / Game
10
16
Fumbles / Game
6
5
Turnover EPA / Game
29
29

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
28
20
4th Down Efficiency
11
13
RZ Efficiency
28
26
Dolphins Offense vs Titans Defense
Dolphins logo
Titans logo

Total

Points / Game
3
15
Yards / Game
3
17
Passing Yards / Game
16
19
Rushing Yards / Game
7
14

EPA

EPA / Play
4
28
EPA / Pass
4
30
EPA / Rush
9
5

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
31
4
Interceptions / Game
24
32
Fumbles / Game
20
13
Turnover EPA / Game
9
2

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
12
18
4th Down Efficiency
24
26
RZ Efficiency
3
1