nfelo logo

nfelo

Live
Platform
Kalshi
$10

$10 Bonus

Receive $10 when you sign up with Kalshi prediction market

Affiliate Disclosure: Some of the links and placements on this site may be affiliate links or paid partnerships. This means nfelo may receive compensation when you click these links or sign up for a partner’s service.

Offer Disclosure: Offers are for informational purposes only. Age, location, and other restrictions may apply. nfelo does not validate offer availability. See provider for full terms.

  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. titans @ jaguars week 6, 2010

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

© 2026 nfelo. All rights reserved.

Entertainment purposes only. The information contained on nfeloapp.com is not intended to be, and shall not be construed as, gambling advice, financial advice, or any other professional advice or service. nfeloapp.com and its owners assume no responsibility for errors or omissions. Please gamble responsibly.

TEN logo
TENTitans
3-2
30
TBD
TIAA Bank Stadium
70°F
8 mph
3
JAXJaguars
3-2
JAX logo
TBD
TIAA Bank Stadium
70°F
8 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Titans
7
10
3
10
30
Jaguars
0
0
3
0
3

Spread

TEN logo
-3

Total

UNDER
43.5

Game Statistics

General
Titans logo
Jaguars logo
Total Yards
324
249
Total Plays
60
63
Yards / Play
5.4
4.0
EPA / Play
+0.32
-0.20
Passing Yards
--
173
Comp/Att
14/21(67%)
21/36(58%)
Yards / Pass
--
4.8
EPA / Pass
+0.72
-0.47
Rushing Yards
153
76
Rush Attempts
39
25
Yards / Rush
3.9
3.0
EPA / Rush
+0.00
-0.03
Downs & Conversions
Titans logo
Jaguars logo
1st Downs
20
17
Passing 1st downs
10
8
Rushing 1st downs
8
7
Penalty 1st downs
2
2
3rd Down %
57%
23%
3rd Down Conversions
8
3
3rd Down Attempts
14
13
Red Zone %
25%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
1
--
Red Zone Attempts
4
3
Negative Plays
Titans logo
Jaguars logo
Turnovers
0
4
Interceptions
0
3
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
--
-15.29
Sacks
--
2
Sack Yards
--
-16
Sack EPA
--
-2.51
Penalties
8
7
Penalty Yards
57
55
Penalty EPA
-6.23
-6.12

Game Preview

nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game

Model

Projected Winner
TEN logo
TENTitansFavored
Opening
-2.5
Current
-3.0
Model
-3.0

Win Probability

Market59.7%
Model59.7%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-62
Home nfelo
1,439
Away nfelo
1,526
Home Field
+23.1
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
-28.2
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
-11.2
Net QB Adjustment
+2.5
Home QB Adjustment
-0.2
Away QB Adjustment
-2.7
Market Regression
-22.1
Final Difference
-68.3
Model Spread
+3.0

Quarterbacks

V. Young headshot

V. Young

Proj. Value
-0.9
Team Elo Adj
-2.7
Value
Ptile
12/06
1.5
60
12/13
3.9
74
12/20
2.8
68
12/25
-5.4
17
01/03
-3.8
25
09/12
3.1
70
09/19
-7.4
8
09/26
-1.6
39
10/03
0.2
50
10/10
-0.7
45
D. Garrard headshot

D. Garrard

Proj. Value
+0.2
Team Elo Adj
-0.2
Value
Ptile
12/06
-1.1
43
12/13
-5.3
18
12/17
1.1
56
12/27
-1.3
41
01/03
0.0
49
09/12
5.0
82
09/19
-7.8
7
09/26
-12.1
2
10/03
8.9
95
10/10
2.5
66

Team Matchup Ranks

Titans Offense vs Jaguars Defense
Titans logo
Jaguars logo

Total

Points / Game
16
26
Yards / Game
28
27
Passing Yards / Game
29
16
Rushing Yards / Game
17
22

EPA

EPA / Play
14
30
EPA / Pass
16
31
EPA / Rush
28
30

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
23
13
Interceptions / Game
13
23
Fumbles / Game
28
28
Turnover EPA / Game
17
2

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
23
27
4th Down Efficiency
10
12
RZ Efficiency
10
20
Jaguars Offense vs Titans Defense
Jaguars logo
Titans logo

Total

Points / Game
17
15
Yards / Game
13
26
Passing Yards / Game
19
32
Rushing Yards / Game
3
20

EPA

EPA / Play
9
21
EPA / Pass
21
22
EPA / Rush
3
15

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
2
26
Interceptions / Game
27
11
Fumbles / Game
9
31
Turnover EPA / Game
10
14

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
13
29
4th Down Efficiency
6
7
RZ Efficiency
2
3

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

TEN logo

Titans

6-4
SU
4-6
ATS
6-4
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/06
-10
L
L
U
12/13
40
W
W
O
12/20
3
W
L
O
12/25
-25
L
L
O
01/03
4
W
L
U
09/12
25
W
W
O
09/19
-8
L
L
U
09/26
19
W
W
U
10/03
-6
L
L
O
10/10
7
W
W
O
JAX logo

Jaguars

4-6
SU
4-6
ATS
5-5
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/06
5
W
W
U
12/13
-4
L
L
U
12/17
-4
L
L
O
12/27
-28
L
L
U
01/03
-6
L
L
O
09/12
7
W
W
U
09/19
-25
L
L
O
09/26
-25
L
L
U
10/03
3
W
W
O
10/10
10
W
W
O