TENTitans
4-6
23
TBD
Ring Central Coliseum
58°F
5 mph
19
OAKRaiders
4-6
TBD
Ring Central Coliseum
58°F
5 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Titans
3
3
7
10
23
Raiders
3
6
3
7
19
Spread
-2.5
Total
PUSH
42
P
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
426
353
Total Plays
73
55
Yards / Play
5.8
6.4
EPA / Play
+0.12
+0.04
Passing Yards
312
--
Comp/Att
30/42(71%)
19/32(59%)
Yards / Pass
7.4
--
EPA / Pass
+0.43
+0.06
Rushing Yards
114
93
Rush Attempts
29
23
Yards / Rush
3.9
4.0
EPA / Rush
-0.09
-0.06
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
22
19
Passing 1st downs
16
14
Rushing 1st downs
4
4
Penalty 1st downs
2
1
3rd Down %
56%
30%
3rd Down Conversions
10
3
3rd Down Attempts
18
10
Red Zone %
25%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
1
--
Red Zone Attempts
4
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
2
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
--
-4.88
Sacks
2
--
Sack Yards
-8
--
Sack EPA
-2.40
--
Penalties
10
4
Penalty Yards
100
50
Penalty EPA
-10.91
-7.81
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
TENTitansFavored
Opening
+1.0
Current
-2.5
Model
-2.5
Win Probability
Market56.6%
Model56.6%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-50
Home nfelo
1,401
Away nfelo
1,407
Home Field
+62.5
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-106.2
Home QB Adjustment
-93.6
Away QB Adjustment
+12.6
Market Regression
-27.3
Final Difference
-46.1
Model Spread
+2.5
Quarterbacks
R. Fitzpatrick
Proj. Value
+0.4
Team Elo Adj
+12.6
M. McGloin
Proj. Value
-4.5
Team Elo Adj
-93.6
Value
Ptile
Team Matchup Ranks
Titans Offense vs Raiders Defense
Total
Points / Game
18
29
Yards / Game
21
21
Passing Yards / Game
15
30
Rushing Yards / Game
14
11
EPA
EPA / Play
16
26
EPA / Pass
13
32
EPA / Rush
12
15
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
11
11
Interceptions / Game
18
31
Fumbles / Game
5
11
Turnover EPA / Game
20
14
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
8
28
4th Down Efficiency
7
6
RZ Efficiency
9
22
Raiders Offense vs Titans Defense
Total
Points / Game
24
16
Yards / Game
23
14
Passing Yards / Game
30
8
Rushing Yards / Game
11
19
EPA
EPA / Play
24
22
EPA / Pass
24
15
EPA / Rush
16
20
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
14
23
Interceptions / Game
24
22
Fumbles / Game
27
1
Turnover EPA / Game
9
11
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
27
6
4th Down Efficiency
10
27
RZ Efficiency
5
27
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Titans
4-6
SU
5-4-1
ATS
7-3
O/U
Raiders
4-6
SU
6-3-1
ATS
4-6
O/U