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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. titans @ raiders week 15, 2004

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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TEN logo
TENTitans
4-9
35
TBD
Ring Central Coliseum
54°F
6 mph
40
OAKRaiders
4-9
OAK logo
TBD
Ring Central Coliseum
54°F
6 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Titans
7
14
0
14
35
Raiders
14
7
14
3
38

Game Statistics

General
Titans logo
Raiders logo
Total Yards
527
415
Total Plays
83
61
Yards / Play
6.3
6.8
EPA / Play
+0.20
+0.31
Passing Yards
466
358
Comp/Att
40/61(66%)
21/37(57%)
Yards / Pass
7.6
9.7
EPA / Pass
+0.27
+0.42
Rushing Yards
61
57
Rush Attempts
19
22
Yards / Rush
3.2
2.6
EPA / Rush
-0.08
-0.18
Downs & Conversions
Titans logo
Raiders logo
1st Downs
31
20
Passing 1st downs
28
15
Rushing 1st downs
2
3
Penalty 1st downs
1
2
3rd Down %
53%
42%
3rd Down Conversions
9
5
3rd Down Attempts
17
12
Red Zone %
80%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
4
3
Red Zone Attempts
5
3
Negative Plays
Titans logo
Raiders logo
Turnovers
2
1
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-8.88
-4.32
Sacks
3
2
Sack Yards
-26
-13
Sack EPA
-8.30
-2.42
Penalties
5
5
Penalty Yards
35
39
Penalty EPA
-6.22
-4.44

Preview data is limited for games before 2009

Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.

Model

Projected Winner
TEN logo
TENTitansFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Titans Offense vs Raiders Defense
Titans logo
Raiders logo

Total

Points / Game
16
31
Yards / Game
11
30
Passing Yards / Game
13
15
Rushing Yards / Game
14
23

EPA

EPA / Play
15
31
EPA / Pass
17
32
EPA / Rush
15
12

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
5
27
Interceptions / Game
23
29
Fumbles / Game
26
25
Turnover EPA / Game
11
6

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
25
32
4th Down Efficiency
22
16
RZ Efficiency
11
32
Raiders Offense vs Titans Defense
Raiders logo
Titans logo

Total

Points / Game
19
30
Yards / Game
17
27
Passing Yards / Game
4
21
Rushing Yards / Game
32
18

EPA

EPA / Play
13
28
EPA / Pass
19
26
EPA / Rush
22
30

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
2
9
Interceptions / Game
29
10
Fumbles / Game
23
21
Turnover EPA / Game
9
17

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
21
7
4th Down Efficiency
14
31
RZ Efficiency
21
20

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

TEN logo

Titans

3-7
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
10/03
-21
L
L
P
10/11
21
W
W
P
10/17
-10
L
L
P
10/24
-17
L
L
P
10/31
7
W
W
P
11/14
-2
L
L
P
11/21
3
W
W
P
11/28
-10
L
L
P
12/05
-27
L
L
P
12/13
-11
L
L
P
OAK logo

Raiders

2-8
SU
2-8
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
10/03
-13
L
L
P
10/10
-21
L
L
P
10/17
-28
L
L
P
10/24
-5
L
L
P
10/31
-28
L
L
P
11/07
3
W
W
P
11/21
-6
L
L
P
11/28
1
W
W
P
12/05
-7
L
L
P
12/12
-25
L
L
P