TENTitans
7-8
17
TBD
Lumen Field
46°F
013
SEASeahawks
5-10
TBD
Lumen Field
46°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Titans
7
0
3
7
17
Seahawks
0
7
3
3
13
Spread
+6
Total
UNDER
45
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
304
309
Total Plays
67
60
Yards / Play
4.5
5.2
EPA / Play
+0.06
-0.04
Passing Yards
--
169
Comp/Att
17/28(61%)
16/31(52%)
Yards / Pass
--
5.5
EPA / Pass
+0.21
-0.21
Rushing Yards
133
140
Rush Attempts
39
26
Yards / Rush
3.4
5.4
EPA / Rush
-0.04
+0.06
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
19
16
Passing 1st downs
10
8
Rushing 1st downs
9
7
Penalty 1st downs
--
1
3rd Down %
43%
31%
3rd Down Conversions
6
4
3rd Down Attempts
14
13
Red Zone %
67%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
1
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-5.20
-1.85
Sacks
--
3
Sack Yards
--
-23
Sack EPA
--
-5.37
Penalties
9
5
Penalty Yards
76
--
Penalty EPA
-6.38
--
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
TENTitansFavored
Opening
-5.0
Current
-6.0
Model
-4.0
Win Probability
Market69.8%
Model65.8%
Spread Pick
Seahawks+6.0
Expected Value
+3.6%
Cover Probability
52.8%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-79
Home nfelo
1,393
Away nfelo
1,528
Home Field
+84.3
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-27.5
Home QB Adjustment
-13.8
Away QB Adjustment
+13.7
Market Regression
+3.5
Final Difference
-113.6
Model Spread
+4.0
Quarterbacks
V. Young
Proj. Value
-0.9
Team Elo Adj
+13.7
M. Hasselbeck
Proj. Value
-2.7
Team Elo Adj
-13.8
Team Matchup Ranks
Titans Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
15
25
Yards / Game
13
23
Passing Yards / Game
31
5
Rushing Yards / Game
2
14
EPA
EPA / Play
13
21
EPA / Pass
17
28
EPA / Rush
2
11
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
13
11
Interceptions / Game
14
22
Fumbles / Game
29
23
Turnover EPA / Game
22
11
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
12
18
4th Down Efficiency
12
15
RZ Efficiency
9
21
Seahawks Offense vs Titans Defense
Total
Points / Game
25
28
Yards / Game
21
27
Passing Yards / Game
7
25
Rushing Yards / Game
26
11
EPA
EPA / Play
25
27
EPA / Pass
24
26
EPA / Rush
31
22
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
5
32
Interceptions / Game
24
7
Fumbles / Game
22
28
Turnover EPA / Game
7
16
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
25
26
4th Down Efficiency
22
31
RZ Efficiency
30
27
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Titans
7-3
SU
5-5
ATS
6-4
O/U
Seahawks
3-7
SU
3-7
ATS
5-5
O/U