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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. vikings @ 49ers week 9, 2006

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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MIN logo
MINVikings
4-3
3
TBD
Candlestick Park
62°F
7 mph
9
SF49ers
2-5
SF logo
TBD
Candlestick Park
62°F
7 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Vikings
3
0
0
0
3
49ers
0
6
0
3
9

Game Statistics

General
Vikings logo
49ers logo
Total Yards
238
133
Total Plays
67
50
Yards / Play
3.6
2.7
EPA / Play
-0.28
-0.26
Passing Yards
103
91
Comp/Att
21/31(68%)
13/21(62%)
Yards / Pass
3.3
4.3
EPA / Pass
-0.55
-0.49
Rushing Yards
135
42
Rush Attempts
33
26
Yards / Rush
4.1
1.6
EPA / Rush
+0.02
-0.24
Downs & Conversions
Vikings logo
49ers logo
1st Downs
17
8
Passing 1st downs
6
4
Rushing 1st downs
8
3
Penalty 1st downs
3
1
3rd Down %
36%
23%
3rd Down Conversions
5
3
3rd Down Attempts
14
13
Red Zone %
0%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
--
--
Red Zone Attempts
1
2
Negative Plays
Vikings logo
49ers logo
Turnovers
3
1
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
2
0
Turnover EPA
-15.01
-3.23
Sacks
3
3
Sack Yards
-33
-14
Sack EPA
-13.01
-5.05
Penalties
6
5
Penalty Yards
65
56
Penalty EPA
-5.59
-6.98

Preview data is limited for games before 2009

Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.

Model

Projected Winner
MIN logo
MINVikingsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Vikings Offense vs 49ers Defense
Vikings logo
49ers logo

Total

Points / Game
26
32
Yards / Game
23
26
Passing Yards / Game
14
26
Rushing Yards / Game
17
18

EPA

EPA / Play
30
30
EPA / Pass
29
31
EPA / Rush
20
23

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
6
13
Interceptions / Game
26
22
Fumbles / Game
23
9
Turnover EPA / Game
6
9

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
28
30
4th Down Efficiency
3
12
RZ Efficiency
21
15
49ers Offense vs Vikings Defense
49ers logo
Vikings logo

Total

Points / Game
24
13
Yards / Game
26
6
Passing Yards / Game
31
15
Rushing Yards / Game
6
1

EPA

EPA / Play
25
4
EPA / Pass
25
11
EPA / Rush
17
1

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
13
11
Interceptions / Game
13
5
Fumbles / Game
30
9
Turnover EPA / Game
10
28

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
26
6
4th Down Efficiency
10
23
RZ Efficiency
29
2

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

MIN logo

Vikings

5-5
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/18
-15
L
L
P
12/25
-7
L
L
P
01/01
24
W
W
P
09/11
3
W
W
P
09/17
3
W
W
P
09/24
-3
L
W
P
10/01
-5
L
L
P
10/08
9
W
W
P
10/22
18
W
W
P
10/30
-24
L
L
P
SF logo

49ers

4-6
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/18
-1
L
W
P
12/24
4
W
W
P
01/01
3
W
W
P
09/10
-7
L
W
P
09/17
7
W
W
P
09/24
-14
L
L
P
10/01
-41
L
L
P
10/08
14
W
W
P
10/15
-29
L
L
P
10/29
-31
L
L
P