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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. vikings @ bears week 6, 2007

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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MIN logo
MINVikings
1-3
34
TBD
Soldier Field
55°F
5 mph
31
CHIBears
2-3
CHI logo
TBD
Soldier Field
55°F
5 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Vikings
7
7
7
13
34
Bears
1
7
0
17
25

Game Statistics

General
Vikings logo
Bears logo
Total Yards
444
458
Total Plays
67
70
Yards / Play
6.6
6.5
EPA / Play
+0.21
+0.12
Passing Yards
133
375
Comp/Att
9/23(39%)
26/45(58%)
Yards / Pass
5.8
8.3
EPA / Pass
+0.11
+0.20
Rushing Yards
311
83
Rush Attempts
43
24
Yards / Rush
7.2
3.5
EPA / Rush
+0.26
-0.30
Downs & Conversions
Vikings logo
Bears logo
1st Downs
16
20
Passing 1st downs
5
14
Rushing 1st downs
11
5
Penalty 1st downs
--
1
3rd Down %
31%
40%
3rd Down Conversions
5
6
3rd Down Attempts
16
15
Red Zone %
NaN%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
--
--
Red Zone Attempts
--
1
Negative Plays
Vikings logo
Bears logo
Turnovers
0
4
Interceptions
0
2
Fumbles
0
2
Turnover EPA
--
-8.51
Sacks
1
1
Sack Yards
-3
-6
Sack EPA
-1.33
-1.35
Penalties
2
4
Penalty Yards
10
28
Penalty EPA
-2.19
-2.71

Preview data is limited for games before 2009

Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.

Model

Projected Winner
MIN logo
MINVikingsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Vikings Offense vs Bears Defense
Vikings logo
Bears logo

Total

Points / Game
15
17
Yards / Game
13
28
Passing Yards / Game
26
30
Rushing Yards / Game
1
24

EPA

EPA / Play
17
5
EPA / Pass
21
14
EPA / Rush
5
13

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
19
9
Interceptions / Game
6
18
Fumbles / Game
26
1
Turnover EPA / Game
9
25

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
26
2
4th Down Efficiency
13
29
RZ Efficiency
4
14
Bears Offense vs Vikings Defense
Bears logo
Vikings logo

Total

Points / Game
18
10
Yards / Game
27
20
Passing Yards / Game
6
32
Rushing Yards / Game
30
1

EPA

EPA / Play
26
3
EPA / Pass
26
16
EPA / Rush
30
1

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
28
13
Interceptions / Game
28
13
Fumbles / Game
15
9
Turnover EPA / Game
15
26

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
28
16
4th Down Efficiency
18
8
RZ Efficiency
27
5

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

MIN logo

Vikings

3-7
SU
3-5-2
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
11/26
5
W
L
P
12/03
-10
L
L
P
12/10
10
W
W
P
12/17
-13
L
L
P
12/21
-2
L
W
P
12/31
-20
L
L
P
09/09
21
W
W
P
09/16
-3
L
P
P
09/23
-3
L
P
P
09/30
-7
L
L
P
CHI logo

Bears

5-5
SU
2-8
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/24
5
W
L
P
12/31
-19
L
L
P
01/14
3
W
L
P
01/21
25
W
W
P
02/04
-12
L
L
P
09/09
-11
L
L
P
09/16
10
W
L
P
09/23
-24
L
L
P
09/30
-10
L
L
P
10/07
7
W
W
P