MINVikings
2-1
12
TBD
New Era Field
58°F
11 mph
17
BUFBills
1-2
TBD
New Era Field
58°F
11 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Vikings
3
3
0
6
12
Bills
0
7
7
3
17
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
330
296
Total Plays
61
68
Yards / Play
5.4
4.4
EPA / Play
-0.14
-0.08
Passing Yards
--
201
Comp/Att
25/45(56%)
23/32(72%)
Yards / Pass
--
6.3
EPA / Pass
-0.13
+0.13
Rushing Yards
63
95
Rush Attempts
16
33
Yards / Rush
3.9
2.9
EPA / Rush
-0.20
-0.20
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
14
19
Passing 1st downs
11
10
Rushing 1st downs
2
7
Penalty 1st downs
1
2
3rd Down %
15%
36%
3rd Down Conversions
2
5
3rd Down Attempts
13
14
Red Zone %
0%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
--
2
Red Zone Attempts
1
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
0
Interceptions
2
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-8.91
--
Sacks
--
3
Sack Yards
--
-21
Sack EPA
--
-5.12
Penalties
12
15
Penalty Yards
78
104
Penalty EPA
-11.77
-9.50
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
MINVikingsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Vikings Offense vs Bills Defense
Total
Points / Game
26
9
Yards / Game
23
18
Passing Yards / Game
14
6
Rushing Yards / Game
17
27
EPA
EPA / Play
30
10
EPA / Pass
29
9
EPA / Rush
20
29
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
6
6
Interceptions / Game
26
24
Fumbles / Game
23
25
Turnover EPA / Game
6
16
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
28
12
4th Down Efficiency
3
28
RZ Efficiency
21
20
Bills Offense vs Vikings Defense
Total
Points / Game
23
13
Yards / Game
30
6
Passing Yards / Game
20
15
Rushing Yards / Game
27
1
EPA
EPA / Play
21
4
EPA / Pass
18
11
EPA / Rush
25
1
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
19
11
Interceptions / Game
11
5
Fumbles / Game
28
9
Turnover EPA / Game
16
28
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
31
6
4th Down Efficiency
20
23
RZ Efficiency
25
2
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Vikings
7-3
SU
8-2
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Bills
2-8
SU
4-5-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U