nfelo logo

nfelo

Live
Platform
Kalshi
$10

$10 Bonus

Receive $10 when you sign up with Kalshi prediction market

Affiliate Disclosure: Some of the links and placements on this site may be affiliate links or paid partnerships. This means nfelo may receive compensation when you click these links or sign up for a partner’s service.

Offer Disclosure: Offers are for informational purposes only. Age, location, and other restrictions may apply. nfelo does not validate offer availability. See provider for full terms.

  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. vikings @ broncos week 17, 2007

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

© 2025 nfelo. All rights reserved.

Entertainment purposes only. The information contained on nfeloapp.com is not intended to be, and shall not be construed as, gambling advice, financial advice, or any other professional advice or service. nfeloapp.com and its owners assume no responsibility for errors or omissions. Please gamble responsibly.

MIN logo
MINVikings
8-7
19
TBD
Empower Field at Mile High
36°F
7 mph
22
DENBroncos
6-9
DEN logo
TBD
Empower Field at Mile High
36°F
7 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
OT
Total
Vikings
0
3
0
16
0
19
Broncos
0
14
3
0
3
20

Game Statistics

General
Vikings logo
Broncos logo
Total Yards
336
362
Total Plays
63
65
Yards / Play
5.3
5.6
EPA / Play
+0.04
+0.04
Passing Yards
160
234
Comp/Att
16/31(52%)
26/37(70%)
Yards / Pass
5.2
6.3
EPA / Pass
+0.12
+0.13
Rushing Yards
176
128
Rush Attempts
29
27
Yards / Rush
6.1
4.7
EPA / Rush
-0.11
-0.09
Downs & Conversions
Vikings logo
Broncos logo
1st Downs
16
21
Passing 1st downs
10
14
Rushing 1st downs
6
6
Penalty 1st downs
--
1
3rd Down %
50%
25%
3rd Down Conversions
7
3
3rd Down Attempts
14
12
Red Zone %
33%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
3
3
Negative Plays
Vikings logo
Broncos logo
Turnovers
3
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
3
0
Turnover EPA
-13.72
--
Sacks
3
1
Sack Yards
-15
-12
Sack EPA
-5.20
-1.99
Penalties
4
5
Penalty Yards
30
40
Penalty EPA
-1.65
-2.60

Preview data is limited for games before 2009

Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.

Model

Projected Winner
MIN logo
MINVikingsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Vikings Offense vs Broncos Defense
Vikings logo
Broncos logo

Total

Points / Game
15
28
Yards / Game
13
19
Passing Yards / Game
26
4
Rushing Yards / Game
1
30

EPA

EPA / Play
17
31
EPA / Pass
21
31
EPA / Rush
5
27

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
19
17
Interceptions / Game
6
24
Fumbles / Game
26
3
Turnover EPA / Game
9
11

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
26
26
4th Down Efficiency
13
31
RZ Efficiency
4
23
Broncos Offense vs Vikings Defense
Broncos logo
Vikings logo

Total

Points / Game
21
10
Yards / Game
10
20
Passing Yards / Game
3
32
Rushing Yards / Game
8
1

EPA

EPA / Play
15
3
EPA / Pass
11
16
EPA / Rush
10
1

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
16
13
Interceptions / Game
9
13
Fumbles / Game
24
9
Turnover EPA / Game
14
26

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
14
16
4th Down Efficiency
30
8
RZ Efficiency
21
5

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

MIN logo

Vikings

6-4
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
10/21
-10
L
L
P
10/28
-7
L
L
P
11/04
18
W
W
P
11/11
-34
L
L
P
11/18
7
W
W
P
11/25
24
W
W
P
12/02
32
W
W
P
12/09
20
W
W
P
12/17
7
W
L
P
12/23
-11
L
L
P
DEN logo

Broncos

4-6
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
10/21
3
W
W
P
10/29
-6
L
L
P
11/04
-37
L
L
P
11/11
16
W
W
P
11/19
14
W
W
P
11/25
-3
L
L
P
12/02
-14
L
L
P
12/09
34
W
W
P
12/13
-18
L
L
P
12/24
-20
L
L
P