MINVikings
8-7
19
TBD
Empower Field at Mile High
36°F
7 mph
22
DENBroncos
6-9
TBD
Empower Field at Mile High
36°F
7 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
OT
Total
Vikings
0
3
0
16
0
19
Broncos
0
14
3
0
3
20
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
336
362
Total Plays
63
65
Yards / Play
5.3
5.6
EPA / Play
+0.04
+0.04
Passing Yards
160
234
Comp/Att
16/31(52%)
26/37(70%)
Yards / Pass
5.2
6.3
EPA / Pass
+0.12
+0.13
Rushing Yards
176
128
Rush Attempts
29
27
Yards / Rush
6.1
4.7
EPA / Rush
-0.11
-0.09
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
16
21
Passing 1st downs
10
14
Rushing 1st downs
6
6
Penalty 1st downs
--
1
3rd Down %
50%
25%
3rd Down Conversions
7
3
3rd Down Attempts
14
12
Red Zone %
33%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
3
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
3
0
Turnover EPA
-13.72
--
Sacks
3
1
Sack Yards
-15
-12
Sack EPA
-5.20
-1.99
Penalties
4
5
Penalty Yards
30
40
Penalty EPA
-1.65
-2.60
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
MINVikingsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Vikings Offense vs Broncos Defense
Total
Points / Game
15
28
Yards / Game
13
19
Passing Yards / Game
26
4
Rushing Yards / Game
1
30
EPA
EPA / Play
17
31
EPA / Pass
21
31
EPA / Rush
5
27
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
19
17
Interceptions / Game
6
24
Fumbles / Game
26
3
Turnover EPA / Game
9
11
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
26
26
4th Down Efficiency
13
31
RZ Efficiency
4
23
Broncos Offense vs Vikings Defense
Total
Points / Game
21
10
Yards / Game
10
20
Passing Yards / Game
3
32
Rushing Yards / Game
8
1
EPA
EPA / Play
15
3
EPA / Pass
11
16
EPA / Rush
10
1
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
16
13
Interceptions / Game
9
13
Fumbles / Game
24
9
Turnover EPA / Game
14
26
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
14
16
4th Down Efficiency
30
8
RZ Efficiency
21
5
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Vikings
6-4
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Broncos
4-6
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U