MINVikings
2-2
TBD
FirstEnergy Stadium
70°F
0CLEBrowns
1-3
TBD
FirstEnergy Stadium
70°F
0Model
Projected Winner
MINVikingsFavored
Opening
-4.5
Current
-3.5
Model
-5.5
Win Probability
Market62.9%
Model68.4%
Spread Pick
Vikings-3.5
Expected Value
+3.7%
Cover Probability
54.3%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-172
Home nfelo
1,387
Away nfelo
1,534
Home Field
+20.4
Base HFA
--
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+13.5
Time Adj
+6.9
Net QB Adjustment
-45.6
Home QB Adjustment
-57.6
Away QB Adjustment
-12.0
Market Regression
+5.8
Final Difference
-134.0
Model Spread
+5.5
Quarterbacks
C. Wentz
Proj. Value
-1.7
Team Elo Adj
-12.0
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Vikings Offense vs Browns Defense
Total
Points / Game
10
24
Yards / Game
23
1
Passing Yards / Game
15
4
Rushing Yards / Game
20
1
EPA
EPA / Play
26
11
EPA / Pass
29
21
EPA / Rush
16
4
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
22
13
Interceptions / Game
28
17
Fumbles / Game
7
25
Turnover EPA / Game
6
5
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
30
28
4th Down Efficiency
10
10
RZ Efficiency
16
28
Browns Offense vs Vikings Defense
Total
Points / Game
31
9
Yards / Game
27
7
Passing Yards / Game
12
8
Rushing Yards / Game
30
24
EPA
EPA / Play
32
2
EPA / Pass
30
1
EPA / Rush
10
25
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
22
1
Interceptions / Game
31
17
Fumbles / Game
18
1
Turnover EPA / Game
2
29
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
21
6
4th Down Efficiency
20
1
RZ Efficiency
8
6
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Vikings
6-4
SU
6-4
ATS
6-4
O/U
Browns
1-9
SU
2-8
ATS
3-7
O/U