MINVikings
2-2
21
TBD
FirstEnergy Stadium
61°F
14 mph
17
CLEBrowns
1-3
TBD
FirstEnergy Stadium
61°F
14 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Vikings
7
0
7
7
21
Browns
7
3
7
0
17
Spread
-3.5
Total
OVER
35.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
349
322
Total Plays
61
67
Yards / Play
5.7
4.8
EPA / Play
+0.06
-0.01
Passing Yards
252
182
Comp/Att
26/35(74%)
19/33(58%)
Yards / Pass
7.2
5.5
EPA / Pass
+0.34
-0.07
Rushing Yards
97
140
Rush Attempts
23
32
Yards / Rush
4.2
4.4
EPA / Rush
-0.42
+0.05
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
20
17
Passing 1st downs
14
9
Rushing 1st downs
4
8
Penalty 1st downs
2
--
3rd Down %
33%
20%
3rd Down Conversions
3
3
3rd Down Attempts
9
15
Red Zone %
100%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
2
2
Red Zone Attempts
2
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
2
0
Turnover EPA
-8.31
--
Sacks
3
2
Sack Yards
-16
-8
Sack EPA
-4.20
-2.74
Penalties
7
10
Penalty Yards
50
78
Penalty EPA
-5.58
-6.92
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
MINVikingsFavored
Opening
-3.5
Current
-3.5
Model
-4.5
Win Probability
Market62.9%
Model67.1%
Spread Pick
Vikings-3.5
Expected Value
+2.0%
Cover Probability
53.4%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-158
Home nfelo
1,387
Away nfelo
1,534
Home Field
+20.8
Base HFA
--
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+13.7
Time Adj
+7.0
Net QB Adjustment
-31.9
Home QB Adjustment
-43.9
Away QB Adjustment
-12.0
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
-123.5
Model Spread
+4.5
Quarterbacks
C. Wentz
Proj. Value
-2.2
Team Elo Adj
-12.0
D. Gabriel
Proj. Value
-3.7
Team Elo Adj
-43.9
No recent game data available
Team Matchup Ranks
Vikings Offense vs Browns Defense
Total
Points / Game
22
18
Yards / Game
27
2
Passing Yards / Game
18
1
Rushing Yards / Game
25
14
EPA
EPA / Play
28
5
EPA / Pass
30
10
EPA / Rush
24
2
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
20
10
Interceptions / Game
31
8
Fumbles / Game
10
19
Turnover EPA / Game
3
26
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
31
8
4th Down Efficiency
13
15
RZ Efficiency
16
7
Browns Offense vs Vikings Defense
Total
Points / Game
29
16
Yards / Game
31
10
Passing Yards / Game
25
20
Rushing Yards / Game
26
22
EPA
EPA / Play
32
6
EPA / Pass
32
9
EPA / Rush
18
19
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
28
3
Interceptions / Game
26
29
Fumbles / Game
6
5
Turnover EPA / Game
19
12
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
30
9
4th Down Efficiency
18
30
RZ Efficiency
24
4
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Vikings
6-4
SU
6-4
ATS
6-4
O/U
Browns
1-9
SU
2-8
ATS
3-7
O/U