MINVikings
-
19
TBD
FedExField
65°F
9 mph
16
WASCommanders
-
TBD
FedExField
65°F
9 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Vikings
6
3
7
3
19
Commanders
3
10
3
0
16
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
309
266
Total Plays
66
53
Yards / Play
4.7
5.0
EPA / Play
+0.06
-0.01
Passing Yards
223
--
Comp/Att
16/30(53%)
17/28(61%)
Yards / Pass
7.4
--
EPA / Pass
+0.41
+0.01
Rushing Yards
86
103
Rush Attempts
35
25
Yards / Rush
2.5
4.1
EPA / Rush
-0.14
-0.10
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
18
15
Passing 1st downs
10
8
Rushing 1st downs
4
5
Penalty 1st downs
4
2
3rd Down %
53%
31%
3rd Down Conversions
9
4
3rd Down Attempts
17
13
Red Zone %
50%
25%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
2
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
--
Sacks
1
--
Sack Yards
--
--
Sack EPA
-0.34
--
Penalties
9
7
Penalty Yards
60
55
Penalty EPA
-8.07
-7.29
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
MINVikingsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Vikings Offense vs Commanders Defense
Total
Points / Game
26
27
Yards / Game
23
30
Passing Yards / Game
14
9
Rushing Yards / Game
17
26
EPA
EPA / Play
30
32
EPA / Pass
29
32
EPA / Rush
20
21
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
6
30
Interceptions / Game
26
32
Fumbles / Game
23
32
Turnover EPA / Game
6
1
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
28
28
4th Down Efficiency
3
29
RZ Efficiency
21
9
Commanders Offense vs Vikings Defense
Total
Points / Game
20
13
Yards / Game
13
6
Passing Yards / Game
32
15
Rushing Yards / Game
4
1
EPA
EPA / Play
9
4
EPA / Pass
12
11
EPA / Rush
6
1
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
1
11
Interceptions / Game
4
5
Fumbles / Game
10
9
Turnover EPA / Game
29
28
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
17
6
4th Down Efficiency
19
23
RZ Efficiency
16
2
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Vikings
7-3
SU
7-3
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Commanders
6-4
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U