MINVikings
1-0
7
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
70°F
024
PHIEagles
1-0
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Vikings
0
7
0
0
7
Eagles
7
17
0
0
24
Spread
-3
Total
UNDER
49.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
264
486
Total Plays
59
68
Yards / Play
4.5
7.1
EPA / Play
-0.23
+0.06
Passing Yards
202
323
Comp/Att
27/46(59%)
26/31(84%)
Yards / Pass
4.4
10.4
EPA / Pass
-0.30
+0.38
Rushing Yards
62
163
Rush Attempts
11
34
Yards / Rush
5.6
4.8
EPA / Rush
+0.13
+0.15
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
20
25
Passing 1st downs
16
13
Rushing 1st downs
3
10
Penalty 1st downs
1
2
3rd Down %
33%
54%
3rd Down Conversions
4
7
3rd Down Attempts
12
13
Red Zone %
25%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
4
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
1
Interceptions
3
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-13.13
-5.34
Sacks
2
3
Sack Yards
-19
-10
Sack EPA
-5.32
-3.21
Penalties
5
8
Penalty Yards
25
60
Penalty EPA
-4.58
-7.12
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
PHIEaglesFavored
Opening
-1.5
Current
-3.0
Model
-3.0
Win Probability
Market59.3%
Model57.9%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+17
Home nfelo
1,523
Away nfelo
1,548
Home Field
+43.8
Base HFA
+37.4
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+13.1
Time Adj
-6.7
Net QB Adjustment
-1.5
Home QB Adjustment
+5.6
Away QB Adjustment
+7.1
Market Regression
+33.2
Final Difference
55.5
Model Spread
-3.0
Quarterbacks
K. Cousins
Proj. Value
-1.0
Team Elo Adj
+7.1
J. Hurts
Proj. Value
+2.4
Team Elo Adj
+5.6
Team Matchup Ranks
Vikings Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
8
7
Yards / Game
5
1
Passing Yards / Game
3
3
Rushing Yards / Game
29
16
EPA
EPA / Play
17
5
EPA / Pass
10
1
EPA / Rush
28
26
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
13
15
Interceptions / Game
21
9
Fumbles / Game
18
6
Turnover EPA / Game
10
29
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
11
12
4th Down Efficiency
22
19
RZ Efficiency
8
17
Eagles Offense vs Vikings Defense
Total
Points / Game
2
30
Yards / Game
3
31
Passing Yards / Game
6
26
Rushing Yards / Game
4
21
EPA
EPA / Play
2
26
EPA / Pass
6
27
EPA / Rush
1
24
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
32
11
Interceptions / Game
3
12
Fumbles / Game
17
24
Turnover EPA / Game
14
18
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
3
15
4th Down Efficiency
4
6
RZ Efficiency
3
22
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Vikings
6-4
SU
6-4
ATS
7-3
O/U
Eagles
7-3
SU
4-5-1
ATS
7-3
O/U