MINVikings
5-9
24
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
32°F
10 mph
14
PHIEagles
10-4
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
32°F
10 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Vikings
0
1
10
7
18
Eagles
7
0
0
7
14
Spread
+14
Total
UNDER
44
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
337
331
Total Plays
59
71
Yards / Play
5.7
4.7
EPA / Play
+0.06
-0.13
Passing Yards
176
224
Comp/Att
17/26(65%)
25/43(58%)
Yards / Pass
6.8
5.2
EPA / Pass
+0.13
-0.24
Rushing Yards
161
107
Rush Attempts
31
22
Yards / Rush
5.2
4.9
EPA / Rush
+0.02
-0.01
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
21
24
Passing 1st downs
11
15
Rushing 1st downs
8
7
Penalty 1st downs
2
2
3rd Down %
46%
36%
3rd Down Conversions
6
4
3rd Down Attempts
13
11
Red Zone %
67%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
2
2
Red Zone Attempts
3
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
3
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
1
2
Turnover EPA
-3.32
-14.08
Sacks
2
6
Sack Yards
-19
-39
Sack EPA
-3.68
-15.68
Penalties
5
12
Penalty Yards
74
62
Penalty EPA
-6.38
-6.18
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
PHIEaglesFavored
Opening
-15.0
Current
-14.0
Model
-14.0
Win Probability
Market87.3%
Model87.3%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+352
Home nfelo
1,605
Away nfelo
1,434
Home Field
+73.1
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
-11.2
Net QB Adjustment
+107.4
Home QB Adjustment
+29.4
Away QB Adjustment
-78.0
Market Regression
-17.9
Final Difference
334.9
Model Spread
-14.0
Quarterbacks
J. Webb
Proj. Value
-3.8
Team Elo Adj
-78.0
No recent game data available
M. Vick
Proj. Value
-2.6
Team Elo Adj
+29.4
Team Matchup Ranks
Vikings Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
29
21
Yards / Game
23
12
Passing Yards / Game
12
23
Rushing Yards / Game
10
15
EPA
EPA / Play
27
24
EPA / Pass
30
23
EPA / Rush
14
18
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
10
4
Interceptions / Game
32
3
Fumbles / Game
22
9
Turnover EPA / Game
2
16
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
24
21
4th Down Efficiency
15
9
RZ Efficiency
30
32
Eagles Offense vs Vikings Defense
Total
Points / Game
3
18
Yards / Game
2
8
Passing Yards / Game
3
6
Rushing Yards / Game
5
9
EPA
EPA / Play
5
9
EPA / Pass
11
10
EPA / Rush
1
9
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
21
15
Interceptions / Game
12
17
Fumbles / Game
20
22
Turnover EPA / Game
25
20
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
16
24
4th Down Efficiency
1
19
RZ Efficiency
15
23
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Vikings
4-6
SU
3-7
ATS
6-4
O/U
Eagles
8-2
SU
6-4
ATS
9-1
O/U