MINVikings
-
28
TBD
MetLife Stadium
64°F
10 mph
6
NYGGiants
-
TBD
MetLife Stadium
64°F
10 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Vikings
7
7
8
0
22
Giants
3
0
3
0
6
Spread
-1
Total
UNDER
42
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
312
240
Total Plays
51
68
Yards / Play
6.1
3.5
EPA / Play
+0.12
-0.31
Passing Yards
201
166
Comp/Att
19/24(79%)
22/42(52%)
Yards / Pass
8.4
4.0
EPA / Pass
+0.29
-0.54
Rushing Yards
111
74
Rush Attempts
26
21
Yards / Rush
4.3
3.5
EPA / Rush
+0.03
-0.08
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
17
14
Passing 1st downs
8
8
Rushing 1st downs
7
5
Penalty 1st downs
2
1
3rd Down %
30%
39%
3rd Down Conversions
3
7
3rd Down Attempts
10
18
Red Zone %
100%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
2
--
Red Zone Attempts
2
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
2
Interceptions
1
2
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-7.34
-11.68
Sacks
1
5
Sack Yards
-7
-20
Sack EPA
-1.56
-5.37
Penalties
7
9
Penalty Yards
63
95
Penalty EPA
-6.53
-11.74
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
MINVikingsFavored
Opening
-1.5
Current
-1.0
Model
-1.0
Win Probability
Market52.3%
Model52.3%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+0
Home nfelo
1,441
Away nfelo
1,507
Home Field
+54.7
Base HFA
+46.4
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+8.3
Net QB Adjustment
+11.2
Home QB Adjustment
-5.2
Away QB Adjustment
-16.5
Market Regression
+9.1
Final Difference
-16.0
Model Spread
+1.0
Quarterbacks
S. Darnold
Proj. Value
-0.6
Team Elo Adj
-16.5
D. Jones
Proj. Value
-1.7
Team Elo Adj
-5.2
Team Matchup Ranks
Vikings Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
9
20
Yards / Game
12
23
Passing Yards / Game
3
6
Rushing Yards / Game
19
26
EPA
EPA / Play
17
22
EPA / Pass
17
29
EPA / Rush
23
19
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
27
10
Interceptions / Game
18
31
Fumbles / Game
19
8
Turnover EPA / Game
11
6
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
14
19
4th Down Efficiency
29
16
RZ Efficiency
19
10
Giants Offense vs Vikings Defense
Total
Points / Game
31
4
Yards / Game
30
14
Passing Yards / Game
23
31
Rushing Yards / Game
22
2
EPA
EPA / Play
29
2
EPA / Pass
31
7
EPA / Rush
24
1
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
23
4
Interceptions / Game
19
1
Fumbles / Game
22
13
Turnover EPA / Game
6
28
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
27
2
4th Down Efficiency
19
1
RZ Efficiency
32
18
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Vikings
4-6
SU
4-4-2
ATS
6-4
O/U
Giants
4-6
SU
6-3-1
ATS
5-5
O/U