MINVikings
5-10
38
TBD
Ford Field
70°F
036
DETLions
3-12
TBD
Ford Field
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Vikings
8
14
7
3
32
Lions
14
3
1
6
24
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
450
386
Total Plays
66
66
Yards / Play
6.8
5.8
EPA / Play
+0.20
+0.09
Passing Yards
296
--
Comp/Att
21/29(72%)
19/46(41%)
Yards / Pass
10.2
--
EPA / Pass
+0.50
-0.02
Rushing Yards
154
93
Rush Attempts
34
20
Yards / Rush
4.5
4.7
EPA / Rush
+0.19
-0.03
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
24
20
Passing 1st downs
14
14
Rushing 1st downs
8
4
Penalty 1st downs
2
2
3rd Down %
58%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
7
7
3rd Down Attempts
12
14
Red Zone %
60%
25%
Red Zone Conversions
3
1
Red Zone Attempts
5
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
3
Interceptions
1
3
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-7.91
-14.42
Sacks
3
--
Sack Yards
-16
--
Sack EPA
-8.39
--
Penalties
7
6
Penalty Yards
79
60
Penalty EPA
-7.17
+1.29
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
MINVikingsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Vikings Offense vs Lions Defense
Total
Points / Game
7
31
Yards / Game
1
31
Passing Yards / Game
12
24
Rushing Yards / Game
1
19
EPA
EPA / Play
12
25
EPA / Pass
13
29
EPA / Rush
2
18
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
4
32
Interceptions / Game
30
26
Fumbles / Game
27
6
Turnover EPA / Game
6
16
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
5
29
4th Down Efficiency
19
30
RZ Efficiency
9
28
Lions Offense vs Vikings Defense
Total
Points / Game
26
30
Yards / Game
28
26
Passing Yards / Game
32
19
Rushing Yards / Game
29
9
EPA
EPA / Play
28
29
EPA / Pass
29
32
EPA / Rush
24
10
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
10
4
Interceptions / Game
31
19
Fumbles / Game
2
29
Turnover EPA / Game
10
10
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
29
16
4th Down Efficiency
22
2
RZ Efficiency
29
21
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Vikings
4-6
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Lions
2-8
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U