MINVikings
1-6
24
TBD
Bank of America Stadium
54°F
6 mph
21
CARPanthers
2-5
TBD
Bank of America Stadium
54°F
6 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Vikings
7
7
7
3
24
Panthers
0
14
7
0
21
Spread
+3
Total
UNDER
47
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
361
405
Total Plays
65
65
Yards / Play
5.6
6.2
EPA / Play
+0.14
+0.05
Passing Yards
229
265
Comp/Att
18/28(64%)
22/35(63%)
Yards / Pass
8.2
7.6
EPA / Pass
+0.27
+0.13
Rushing Yards
132
140
Rush Attempts
33
27
Yards / Rush
4.0
5.2
EPA / Rush
+0.00
+0.08
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
22
21
Passing 1st downs
13
11
Rushing 1st downs
8
9
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
50%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
7
6
3rd Down Attempts
14
12
Red Zone %
60%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
3
1
Red Zone Attempts
5
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
2
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
1
2
Turnover EPA
-2.77
-10.20
Sacks
4
3
Sack Yards
-7
-25
Sack EPA
-4.57
-10.86
Penalties
4
6
Penalty Yards
43
60
Penalty EPA
-3.87
-5.08
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
CARPanthersFavored
Opening
-4.0
Current
-3.0
Model
-3.0
Win Probability
Market59.3%
Model59.3%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+70
Home nfelo
1,429
Away nfelo
1,483
Home Field
+95.5
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
+11.2
Net QB Adjustment
+27.7
Home QB Adjustment
+37.4
Away QB Adjustment
+9.7
Market Regression
-39.9
Final Difference
65.4
Model Spread
-3.0
Quarterbacks
C. Ponder
Proj. Value
-2.7
Team Elo Adj
+9.7
Value
Ptile
C. Newton
Proj. Value
-2.3
Team Elo Adj
+37.4
Team Matchup Ranks
Vikings Offense vs Panthers Defense
Total
Points / Game
18
27
Yards / Game
18
27
Passing Yards / Game
17
25
Rushing Yards / Game
4
24
EPA
EPA / Play
20
31
EPA / Pass
29
32
EPA / Rush
2
28
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
31
18
Interceptions / Game
21
20
Fumbles / Game
24
12
Turnover EPA / Game
15
19
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
14
26
4th Down Efficiency
17
7
RZ Efficiency
8
28
Panthers Offense vs Vikings Defense
Total
Points / Game
5
31
Yards / Game
7
20
Passing Yards / Game
12
26
Rushing Yards / Game
3
10
EPA
EPA / Play
6
28
EPA / Pass
11
31
EPA / Rush
1
7
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
7
5
Interceptions / Game
21
31
Fumbles / Game
2
4
Turnover EPA / Game
18
18
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
10
29
4th Down Efficiency
4
26
RZ Efficiency
7
16
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Vikings
2-8
SU
4-5-1
ATS
5-5
O/U
Panthers
3-7
SU
6-4
ATS
5-4-1
O/U