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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. vikings @ ravens week 16, 2005

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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MIN logo
MINVikings
8-6
23
TBD
M&T Bank Stadium
43°F
5 mph
30
BALRavens
5-9
BAL logo
TBD
M&T Bank Stadium
43°F
5 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Vikings
7
7
6
3
23
Ravens
7
3
7
13
30

Game Statistics

General
Vikings logo
Ravens logo
Total Yards
262
367
Total Plays
53
68
Yards / Play
4.9
5.4
EPA / Play
+0.15
+0.17
Passing Yards
220
279
Comp/Att
25/36(69%)
24/34(71%)
Yards / Pass
6.1
8.2
EPA / Pass
+0.18
+0.57
Rushing Yards
42
88
Rush Attempts
14
32
Yards / Rush
3.0
2.8
EPA / Rush
-0.35
-0.28
Downs & Conversions
Vikings logo
Ravens logo
1st Downs
18
23
Passing 1st downs
13
17
Rushing 1st downs
2
3
Penalty 1st downs
3
3
3rd Down %
33%
67%
3rd Down Conversions
3
10
3rd Down Attempts
9
15
Red Zone %
50%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
4
3
Negative Plays
Vikings logo
Ravens logo
Turnovers
1
2
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-4.79
-7.99
Sacks
3
2
Sack Yards
-28
-10
Sack EPA
-6.87
-2.77
Penalties
6
7
Penalty Yards
50
35
Penalty EPA
-5.32
-5.41

Preview data is limited for games before 2009

Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.

Model

Projected Winner
MIN logo
MINVikingsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Vikings Offense vs Ravens Defense
Vikings logo
Ravens logo

Total

Points / Game
19
10
Yards / Game
25
3
Passing Yards / Game
15
9
Rushing Yards / Game
27
9

EPA

EPA / Play
24
4
EPA / Pass
19
2
EPA / Rush
27
3

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
10
9
Interceptions / Game
17
25
Fumbles / Game
22
9
Turnover EPA / Game
13
18

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
29
10
4th Down Efficiency
17
6
RZ Efficiency
23
5
Ravens Offense vs Vikings Defense
Ravens logo
Vikings logo

Total

Points / Game
25
19
Yards / Game
23
21
Passing Yards / Game
17
7
Rushing Yards / Game
20
19

EPA

EPA / Play
28
9
EPA / Pass
23
16
EPA / Rush
29
12

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
24
2
Interceptions / Game
27
2
Fumbles / Game
28
23
Turnover EPA / Game
5
29

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
16
30
4th Down Efficiency
9
12
RZ Efficiency
27
9

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

MIN logo

Vikings

7-3
SU
7-3
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
10/16
-25
L
L
P
10/23
3
W
W
P
10/30
-25
L
L
P
11/06
13
W
W
P
11/13
3
W
W
P
11/21
3
W
W
P
11/27
12
W
W
P
12/04
5
W
W
P
12/11
14
W
W
P
12/18
-15
L
L
P
BAL logo

Ravens

4-6
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
10/16
13
W
W
P
10/23
-4
L
L
P
10/31
-1
L
W
P
11/06
-12
L
L
P
11/13
-27
L
L
P
11/20
3
W
W
P
11/27
-13
L
L
P
12/04
1
W
L
P
12/11
-2
L
W
P
12/19
45
W
W
P