MINVikings
3-10
32
TBD
Mercedes-Benz Superdome
70°F
031
NOSaints
9-4
TBD
Mercedes-Benz Superdome
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Vikings
14
10
0
8
32
Saints
10
10
3
8
31
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
441
301
Total Plays
65
60
Yards / Play
6.8
5.0
EPA / Play
+0.35
+0.33
Passing Yards
293
223
Comp/Att
26/36(72%)
21/34(62%)
Yards / Pass
8.1
6.6
EPA / Pass
+0.62
+0.37
Rushing Yards
148
78
Rush Attempts
26
22
Yards / Rush
5.7
3.5
EPA / Rush
+0.12
-0.21
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
22
18
Passing 1st downs
14
13
Rushing 1st downs
8
4
Penalty 1st downs
--
1
3rd Down %
57%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
8
7
3rd Down Attempts
14
14
Red Zone %
75%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
3
1
Red Zone Attempts
4
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
--
Sacks
3
4
Sack Yards
-19
-34
Sack EPA
-3.96
-6.02
Penalties
8
8
Penalty Yards
73
53
Penalty EPA
-6.30
-7.61
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
MINVikingsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Vikings Offense vs Saints Defense
Total
Points / Game
7
26
Yards / Game
1
27
Passing Yards / Game
12
27
Rushing Yards / Game
1
20
EPA
EPA / Play
12
16
EPA / Pass
13
19
EPA / Rush
2
17
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
4
13
Interceptions / Game
30
7
Fumbles / Game
27
1
Turnover EPA / Game
6
29
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
5
18
4th Down Efficiency
19
25
RZ Efficiency
9
23
Saints Offense vs Vikings Defense
Total
Points / Game
3
30
Yards / Game
18
26
Passing Yards / Game
10
19
Rushing Yards / Game
17
9
EPA
EPA / Play
13
29
EPA / Pass
19
32
EPA / Rush
12
10
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
21
4
Interceptions / Game
12
19
Fumbles / Game
15
29
Turnover EPA / Game
15
10
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
12
16
4th Down Efficiency
6
2
RZ Efficiency
13
21
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Vikings
3-7
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Saints
6-4
SU
5-4-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U