MINVikings
6-5
7
TBD
Lumen Field
48°F
9 mph
21
SEASeahawks
7-5
TBD
Lumen Field
48°F
9 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Vikings
0
0
0
7
7
Seahawks
0
3
0
12
15
Spread
-3
Total
UNDER
45.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
276
276
Total Plays
56
65
Yards / Play
4.9
4.2
EPA / Play
-0.33
-0.02
Passing Yards
199
62
Comp/Att
20/33(61%)
10/21(48%)
Yards / Pass
6.0
3.0
EPA / Pass
-0.36
-0.62
Rushing Yards
77
214
Rush Attempts
21
42
Yards / Rush
3.7
5.1
EPA / Rush
-0.23
+0.19
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
16
19
Passing 1st downs
9
4
Rushing 1st downs
5
13
Penalty 1st downs
2
2
3rd Down %
20%
27%
3rd Down Conversions
2
3
3rd Down Attempts
10
11
Red Zone %
50%
25%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
2
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-8.04
-5.46
Sacks
2
2
Sack Yards
-9
-12
Sack EPA
-10.31
-2.82
Penalties
4
4
Penalty Yards
51
45
Penalty EPA
-6.59
-6.59
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
SEASeahawksFavored
Opening
-3.0
Current
-3.0
Model
-3.0
Win Probability
Market59.3%
Model59.3%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+80
Home nfelo
1,559
Away nfelo
1,557
Home Field
+77.8
Base HFA
+57.3
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+20.5
Net QB Adjustment
+0.4
Home QB Adjustment
+9.6
Away QB Adjustment
+9.2
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
65.4
Model Spread
-3.0
Quarterbacks
K. Cousins
Proj. Value
-1.0
Team Elo Adj
+9.2
R. Wilson
Proj. Value
+0.3
Team Elo Adj
+9.6
Team Matchup Ranks
Vikings Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
18
13
Yards / Game
20
19
Passing Yards / Game
6
24
Rushing Yards / Game
29
18
EPA
EPA / Play
27
19
EPA / Pass
25
11
EPA / Rush
32
11
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
31
8
Interceptions / Game
8
19
Fumbles / Game
25
3
Turnover EPA / Game
10
28
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
26
5
4th Down Efficiency
29
5
RZ Efficiency
21
8
Seahawks Offense vs Vikings Defense
Total
Points / Game
7
10
Yards / Game
18
4
Passing Yards / Game
19
3
Rushing Yards / Game
1
14
EPA
EPA / Play
6
2
EPA / Pass
8
1
EPA / Rush
5
6
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
20
17
Interceptions / Game
2
20
Fumbles / Game
2
19
Turnover EPA / Game
31
19
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
18
1
4th Down Efficiency
3
6
RZ Efficiency
6
3
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Vikings
5-5
SU
5-4-1
ATS
4-6
O/U
Seahawks
7-3
SU
7-2-1
ATS
5-5
O/U