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  1. nfelo...
  2. qbs...
  3. aaron-rodgers...
  4. 2023

Season Overview

Season Stats

EPA Percentile

Game Log

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nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Model

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Aaron Rodgers headshot

Aaron Rodgers

2023 Season
OverviewCareer StatsSeason Stats

Bio

Career Summary

nfelo QB Value

Season Overview

Season Stats

EPA Percentile

Game Log

Season Overview

Total EPA
-1
38th in the NFL
Total Yards
0
66th in the NFL
Total TDs
0
62nd in the NFL

Season Stats

Total EPA
-1
38th
EPA / DB
-0.39
64th
Success Rate
33.3%
62nd
CPOE
--
ANY/A
-5.0
66th
QBR
--
Passer Rating
39.6
64th
Passing Yards
0
66th
Yards / Attempt
0
66th
Passing TDs
0
61st
Interceptions
0
1st
Rushing Yards
0
65th
Yards / Carry
--
Rushing TDs
0
37th

EPA Percentile

Game Log

Week / Opponent
Status
EPA / DB
EPA
Tot Yds
Tot TD
INT
Rating
Elo Value
1
BUF logo
BUF
H
Start
-0.39
-1.2
0
0
--
39.6
-176.0
2
DAL logo
DAL
A
DNP
3
NE logo
NE
H
DNP
4
KC logo
KC
H
DNP
5
DEN logo
DEN
A
DNP
6
PHI logo
PHI
H
DNP
7BYE WEEK
8
NYG logo
NYG
A
DNP
9
LAC logo
LAC
H
DNP
10
OAK logo
OAK
A
DNP
11
BUF logo
BUF
A
DNP
12
MIA logo
MIA
H
DNP
13
ATL logo
ATL
H
DNP
14
HOU logo
HOU
H
DNP
15
MIA logo
MIA
A
DNP
16
WAS logo
WAS
H
DNP
17
CLE logo
CLE
A
DNP
18
NE logo
NE
A
DNP