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nfelo

v4.0.0
Live
  • Scoreboard
  • QB EPA
Model
  • Games
  • Confidence Pool
  • Betting Card
  • Model Performance
Teams
  • Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
  • Strength of Schedule
  • Win Totals
QBs
  • QB Rankings
  • Era Adjusted Elo
Tools & More
  • Receiving Leaders
  • Head Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
  • NFL Odds Calculator
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nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Model

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Aaron Rodgers headshot

Aaron Rodgers

2008 - 2025

OverviewCareer StatsSeason Stats

Bio

Career Summary

nfelo QB Value

Career Stats

Season
Team
Starts
EPA
EPA / DB
Pass Yds
Pass TD
INT
Rush Yds
Rush TD
2008
GB logo
GB
16
+99
+0.16
4,038
28
13
212
4
2009
GB logo
GB
16
+152
+0.23
4,434
30
7
319
5
2010
GB logo
GB
15
+120
+0.21
3,922
28
11
368
4
2011
GB logo
GB
15
+241
+0.40
4,424
43
6
268
3
2012
GB logo
GB
16
+153
+0.22
4,295
39
8
276
2
2013
GB logo
GB
9
+107
+0.31
2,536
17
6
130
0
2014
GB logo
GB
16
+216
+0.35
4,381
38
5
283
2
2015
GB logo
GB
16
+53
+0.07
3,818
31
8
356
1
2016
GB logo
GB
16
+180
+0.24
4,428
40
7
386
4
2017
GB logo
GB
7
+38
+0.13
1,675
16
6
131
0
2018
GB logo
GB
16
+89
+0.12
4,442
25
2
274
2
2019
GB logo
GB
16
+82
+0.12
4,002
26
4
202
1
2020
GB logo
GB
16
+218
+0.36
4,299
48
5
157
3
2021
GB logo
GB
16
+160
+0.26
4,115
37
4
114
3
2022
GB logo
GB
17
+22
+0.04
3,695
26
12
110
1
2023
NYJ logo
NYJ
1
-1
-0.39
0
0
0
0
0
2024
NYJ logo
NYJ
17
+26
+0.04
3,897
28
11
111
0
2025
PIT logo
PIT
16
+24
+0.04
3,322
24
7
68
1