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  1. nfelo...
  2. qbs...
  3. aaron-rodgers...
  4. 2025

Season Overview

Season Stats

EPA Percentile

Game Log

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nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Model

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Aaron Rodgers headshot

Aaron Rodgers

2025 Season
OverviewCareer StatsSeason Stats

Bio

Career Summary

nfelo QB Value

Season Overview

Season Stats

EPA Percentile

Game Log

Season Overview

Total EPA
24
26th in the NFL
Total Yards
3,390
16th in the NFL
Total TDs
25
13th in the NFL

Season Stats

Total EPA
+24
26th
EPA / DB
+0.04
32nd
Success Rate
43.6%
46th
CPOE
+0.0%
34th
ANY/A
6.3
21st
QBR
44.1
32nd
Passer Rating
95.2
17th
Passing Yards
3,322
15th
Yards / Attempt
6.7
37th
Passing TDs
24
13th
Interceptions
7
36th
Rushing Yards
68
38th
Yards / Carry
5.7
33rd
Rushing TDs
1
22nd

EPA Percentile

Game Log

Week / Opponent
Status
EPA / DB
EPA
Tot Yds
Tot TD
INT
Rating
Elo Value
1
NYJ logo
NYJ
A
Start
+0.34
+12.2
244
4
--
136.7
+99.6
2
SEA logo
SEA
H
Start
-0.22
-8.6
206
1
2
58.0
-178.5
3
NE logo
NE
A
Start
+0.19
+5.2
142
2
1
96.1
-28.5
4
MIN logo
MIN
H
Start
+0.24
+6.0
210
1
--
119.7
+27.5
5BYE WEEK
6
CLE logo
CLE
H
Start
+0.30
+9.2
236
2
--
115.3
+121.2
7
CIN logo
CIN
A
Start
+0.35
+13.0
255
4
2
103.7
+85.0
8
GB logo
GB
H
Start
-0.12
-5.0
219
2
--
101.5
-0.6
9
IND logo
IND
H
Start
-0.08
-3.2
204
1
--
95.3
-41.7
10
LAC logo
LAC
A
Start
-0.50
-17.5
161
1
2
50.6
-203.5
11
CIN logo
CIN
H
Start
+0.14
+3.0
124
1
--
106.5
-66.5
12
CHI logo
CHI
A
DNP
13
BUF logo
BUF
H
Start
-0.44
-9.6
117
0
--
65.0
-104.9
14
BAL logo
BAL
A
Start
+0.30
+10.9
285
2
--
103.1
+143.0
15
MIA logo
MIA
H
Start
+0.37
+11.7
224
2
--
125.9
+88.3
16
DET logo
DET
A
Start
+0.03
+1.3
275
1
--
92.1
+40.0
17
CLE logo
CLE
A
Start
-0.34
-13.8
174
0
--
68.3
-67.6
18
BAL logo
BAL
H
Start
+0.17
+8.9
314
1
--
90.2
+88.0