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nfelo

v4.0.0
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  • Scoreboard
  • QB EPA
Model
  • Games
  • Confidence Pool
  • Betting Card
  • Model Performance
Teams
  • Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
  • Strength of Schedule
  • Win Totals
QBs
  • QB Rankings
  • Era Adjusted Elo
Tools & More
  • Receiving Leaders
  • Head Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
  • NFL Odds Calculator
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nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Model

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Andy Dalton headshot

Andy Dalton

2011 - 2025

OverviewCareer StatsSeason Stats

Bio

Career Summary

nfelo QB Value

Career Stats

Season
Team
Starts
EPA
EPA / DB
Pass Yds
Pass TD
INT
Rush Yds
Rush TD
2011
CIN logo
CIN
16
+12
+0.02
3,398
20
13
160
1
2012
CIN logo
CIN
16
+13
+0.02
3,669
27
16
135
4
2013
CIN logo
CIN
16
+78
+0.11
4,293
33
20
196
2
2014
CIN logo
CIN
16
+10
+0.02
3,398
19
17
182
4
2015
CIN logo
CIN
13
+133
+0.28
3,250
25
7
154
3
2016
CIN logo
CIN
16
+77
+0.12
4,206
18
8
192
4
2017
CIN logo
CIN
16
-28
-0.05
3,320
25
12
117
0
2018
CIN logo
CIN
11
+43
+0.10
2,566
21
11
101
0
2019
CIN logo
CIN
13
-6
-0.01
3,494
16
14
80
4
2020
DAL logo
DAL
9
+10
+0.02
2,170
14
8
118
0
2021
CHI logo
CHI
6
-21
-0.08
1,515
8
9
82
0
2022
NO logo
NO
14
+8
+0.02
2,871
18
9
65
0
2023
CAR logo
CAR
1
+9
+0.14
361
2
0
12
0
2024
CAR logo
CAR
5
-22
-0.12
989
7
6
38
0
2025
CAR logo
CAR
1
-9
-0.18
293
1
1
1
0