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  • Scoreboard
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Model
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QBs
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  • Receiving Leaders
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nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Model

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Carson Palmer headshot

Carson Palmer

2004 - 2017

OverviewCareer StatsSeason Stats

Bio

Career Summary

nfelo QB Value

Career Stats

Season
Team
Starts
EPA
EPA / DB
Pass Yds
Pass TD
INT
Rush Yds
Rush TD
2004
CIN logo
CIN
13
-20
-0.04
2,897
18
18
57
1
2005
CIN logo
CIN
16
+113
+0.20
3,836
32
12
60
1
2006
CIN logo
CIN
16
+79
+0.13
4,036
28
13
45
0
2007
CIN logo
CIN
16
+60
+0.10
4,130
26
20
25
0
2008
CIN logo
CIN
4
-11
-0.08
736
3
4
38
0
2009
CIN logo
CIN
16
+44
+0.08
3,094
21
13
104
3
2010
CIN logo
CIN
16
+37
+0.06
3,936
26
20
61
0
2011
OAK logo
OAK
9
+36
+0.10
2,689
13
14
21
1
2012
OAK logo
OAK
15
+34
+0.05
4,018
22
14
39
1
2013
ARI logo
ARI
16
+21
+0.03
4,274
24
22
23
0
2014
ARI logo
ARI
6
+40
+0.16
1,626
11
3
28
0
2015
ARI logo
ARI
16
+178
+0.29
4,671
35
11
40
1
2016
ARI logo
ARI
15
+45
+0.07
4,233
26
14
42
0
2017
ARI logo
ARI
7
-8
-0.03
1,978
9
7
14
0