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  1. nfelo...
  2. qbs...
  3. mike-tomczak...
  4. 1999

Season Overview

Season Stats

EPA Percentile

Game Log

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nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Model

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Mike Tomczak headshot

Mike Tomczak

1999 Season
OverviewCareer StatsSeason Stats

Bio

Career Summary

nfelo QB Value

Season Overview

Season Stats

EPA Percentile

Game Log

Season Overview

Total EPA
5
26th in the NFL
Total Yards
1,619
33rd in the NFL
Total TDs
12
24th in the NFL

Season Stats

Total EPA
+5
26th
EPA / DB
+0.02
27th
Success Rate
43.6%
28th
CPOE
--
ANY/A
5.1
35th
QBR
--
Passer Rating
75.8
35th
Passing Yards
1,596
32nd
Yards / Attempt
6.3
40th
Passing TDs
12
23rd
Interceptions
8
34th
Rushing Yards
23
47th
Yards / Carry
2.9
51st
Rushing TDs
0
60th

EPA Percentile

Game Log

Week / Opponent
Status
EPA / DB
EPA
Tot Yds
Tot TD
INT
Rating
Elo Value
1
CLE logo
CLE
A
Sub
+1.29
+10.3
78
2
--
146.9
2
BAL logo
BAL
A
DNP
3
SEA logo
SEA
H
Sub
-0.11
-3.3
145
1
2
47.1
4
JAX logo
JAX
H
DNP
5
BUF logo
BUF
A
DNP
6
CIN logo
CIN
A
DNP
7
ATL logo
ATL
H
DNP
8BYE WEEK
9
SF logo
SF
A
DNP
10
CLE logo
CLE
H
DNP
11
TEN logo
TEN
A
DNP
12
CIN logo
CIN
H
Sub
+0.24
+9.3
274
2
--
100.6
13
JAX logo
JAX
A
Start
-0.08
-3.7
197
0
--
65.0
-60.2
14
BAL logo
BAL
H
Start
+0.08
+4.1
251
2
--
88.4
-3.1
15
KC logo
KC
A
Start
-0.08
-4.2
280
2
4
47.2
-121.1
16
CAR logo
CAR
H
Start
-0.26
-6.6
96
1
1
62.6
-117.4
17
TEN logo
TEN
H
Start
-0.01
-0.5
298
2
1
85.2
+38.1