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  • Scoreboard
  • QB EPA
Model
  • Games
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  • Model Performance
Teams
  • Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
  • Strength of Schedule
  • Win Totals
QBs
  • QB Rankings
  • Era Adjusted Elo
Tools & More
  • Receiving Leaders
  • Head Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
  • NFL Odds Calculator
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nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Model

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Peyton Manning headshot

Peyton Manning

1999 - 2015

OverviewCareer StatsSeason Stats

Bio

Career Summary

nfelo QB Value

Career Stats

Season
Team
Starts
EPA
EPA / DB
Pass Yds
Pass TD
INT
Rush Yds
Rush TD
1999
IND logo
IND
16
+136
+0.23
4,047
26
15
75
2
2000
IND logo
IND
16
+160
+0.24
4,388
33
14
103
1
2001
IND logo
IND
16
+31
+0.05
4,131
26
23
158
4
2002
IND logo
IND
16
+74
+0.11
4,200
27
19
156
2
2003
IND logo
IND
16
+130
+0.21
4,267
29
10
39
0
2004
IND logo
IND
16
+241
+0.43
4,557
49
10
51
0
2005
IND logo
IND
16
+192
+0.38
3,747
28
10
64
0
2006
IND logo
IND
16
+181
+0.30
4,397
31
9
49
4
2007
IND logo
IND
16
+148
+0.27
4,040
31
14
12
3
2008
IND logo
IND
16
+136
+0.23
4,002
27
12
31
1
2009
IND logo
IND
16
+186
+0.30
4,500
33
16
4
0
2010
IND logo
IND
16
+134
+0.19
4,700
33
17
33
0
2012
DEN logo
DEN
16
+177
+0.28
4,659
37
11
26
0
2013
DEN logo
DEN
16
+261
+0.36
5,477
55
10
-9
1
2014
DEN logo
DEN
16
+118
+0.18
4,727
39
15
-9
0
2015
DEN logo
DEN
9
-29
-0.08
2,249
9
17
0
0