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v4.0.0
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  • Scoreboard
  • QB EPA
Model
  • Games
  • Confidence Pool
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  • Model Performance
Teams
  • Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
  • Strength of Schedule
  • Win Totals
QBs
  • QB Rankings
  • Era Adjusted Elo
Tools & More
  • Receiving Leaders
  • Head Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
  • NFL Odds Calculator
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nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Model

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Philip Rivers headshot

Philip Rivers

2006 - 2025

OverviewCareer StatsSeason Stats

Bio

Career Summary

nfelo QB Value

Career Stats

Season
Team
Starts
EPA
EPA / DB
Pass Yds
Pass TD
INT
Rush Yds
Rush TD
2006
LAC logo
LAC
16
+81
+0.15
3,387
22
9
58
0
2007
LAC logo
LAC
16
+27
+0.05
3,152
21
15
36
1
2008
LAC logo
LAC
16
+145
+0.26
4,004
34
11
89
0
2009
LAC logo
LAC
16
+184
+0.33
4,254
28
9
56
1
2010
LAC logo
LAC
16
+152
+0.25
4,710
30
13
62
0
2011
LAC logo
LAC
16
+112
+0.17
4,624
27
20
41
1
2012
LAC logo
LAC
16
+5
+0.01
3,606
26
15
49
0
2013
LAC logo
LAC
16
+176
+0.28
4,478
32
11
75
0
2014
LAC logo
LAC
16
+91
+0.13
4,286
31
18
104
0
2015
LAC logo
LAC
16
+52
+0.07
4,792
29
13
36
0
2016
LAC logo
LAC
16
+61
+0.09
4,386
33
21
41
0
2017
LAC logo
LAC
16
+132
+0.21
4,515
28
10
13
0
2018
LAC logo
LAC
16
+131
+0.23
4,308
32
12
14
0
2019
LAC logo
LAC
16
+75
+0.11
4,615
23
20
30
0
2020
IND logo
IND
16
+116
+0.19
4,169
24
11
6
0
2025
IND logo
IND
3
-6
-0.06
544
4
3
0
0