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  1. nfelo...
  2. qbs...
  3. rusty-smith...
  4. 2010

Season Overview

Season Stats

EPA Percentile

Game Log

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nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Model

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Rusty Smith headshot

Rusty Smith

2010 Season
OverviewCareer StatsSeason Stats

Bio

Career Summary

nfelo QB Value

Season Overview

Season Stats

EPA Percentile

Game Log

Season Overview

Total EPA
-21
49th in the NFL
Total Yards
200
57th in the NFL
Total TDs
0
63rd in the NFL

Season Stats

Total EPA
-21
49th
EPA / DB
-0.47
58th
Success Rate
27.3%
60th
CPOE
-9.9%
56th
ANY/A
0.5
59th
QBR
--
Passer Rating
25.0
61st
Passing Yards
200
57th
Yards / Attempt
5.0
59th
Passing TDs
0
62nd
Interceptions
4
24th
Rushing Yards
0
62nd
Yards / Carry
--
Rushing TDs
0
63rd

EPA Percentile

Game Log

Week / Opponent
Status
EPA / DB
EPA
Tot Yds
Tot TD
INT
Rating
Elo Value
1
OAK logo
OAK
H
DNP
2
PIT logo
PIT
H
DNP
3
NYG logo
NYG
A
DNP
4
DEN logo
DEN
H
DNP
5
DAL logo
DAL
A
DNP
6
JAX logo
JAX
A
DNP
7
PHI logo
PHI
H
DNP
8
LAC logo
LAC
A
DNP
9BYE WEEK
10
MIA logo
MIA
A
DNP
11
WAS logo
WAS
H
Sub
-0.78
-7.8
62
0
1
19.0
12
HOU logo
HOU
A
Start
-0.38
-12.9
138
0
3
26.7
-264.1
13
JAX logo
JAX
H
DNP
14
IND logo
IND
H
DNP
15
HOU logo
HOU
H
DNP
16
KC logo
KC
A
DNP
17
IND logo
IND
A
DNP