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ARI logo

Arizona Cardinals

2014 Season

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nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
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  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
11-6
nfelo Rating
141724th
Point Diff / Game
0.016th
Net EPA / Play
+0.00515th

2014 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
LAC logo
LAC
W
18-17
+1
-3
L
-39
2
NYG logo
NYG@
W
25-14
+11
+2
W
10
3
SF logo
SF
W
23-14
+9
+3
W
22
4BYE WEEK
5
DEN logo
DEN@
L
20-41
-21
+8
L
37
6
WAS logo
WAS
W
30-20
+10
-5.5
W
-1
7
OAK logo
OAK@
W
24-13
+11
-3.5
W
8
8
PHI logo
PHI
W
24-20
+4
+1
W
-1
9
DAL logo
DAL@
W
28-17
+11
+1.5
W
8
10
LAR logo
LAR
W
31-14
+17
-7
W
-63
11
DET logo
DET
W
14-06
+8
+1
W
15
12
SEA logo
SEA@
L
03-19
-16
+7
L
-13
13
ATL logo
ATL@
L
18-29
-11
-1.5
L
-4
14
KC logo
KC
W
17-14
+3
+2.5
W
3
15
LAR logo
LAR@
W
12-06
+6
+6
W
-79
16
SEA logo
SEA
L
06-35
-29
+9
L
-18
17
SF logo
SF@
L
17-20
-3
+6.5
W
19
18
CAR logo
CAR@
L
16-27
-11
+5.5
L
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
-0.10
26th
EPA / Pass
-0.01
20th
EPA / Rush
-0.17
31st
Def. EPA / Play
-0.11
3rd
EPA / Pass
-0.05
6th
EPA / Rush
-0.11
10th
Sack EPA
-3.04
6th
Turnover EPA
-5.65
19th
Point Differential
--
16th
Points For
19.2
24th
Points Against
19.2
5th
Total Yards
305.8
28th
Passing Yards
157.5
28th
Rushing Yards
78.6
31st
Total Yards Allowed
369.2
25th
Passing Allowed
217.7
26th
Rushing Allowed
113.4
17th

Conversions For

3rd Down
39%
19th
4th Down
75%
1st
Red Zone
44%
28th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
37%
8th
4th Down
33%
5th
Red Zone
45%
3rd

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.2
6th
Created
1.6
12th

Interceptions

Thrown
0.8
13th
Created
1.1
9th

Fumbles

Lost
0.4
5th
Created
0.5
24th