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ARI logo

Arizona Cardinals

2016 Season

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nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
7-8-1
nfelo Rating
15549th
Point Diff / Game
+3.57th
Net EPA / Play
+0.0617th

2016 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
NE logo
NE
L
21-23
-2
-9
L
-6
2
TB logo
TB
W
40-07
+33
-7
W
16
3
BUF logo
BUF@
L
18-33
-15
-5.5
L
-28
4
LAR logo
LAR
L
13-17
-4
-9.5
L
-57
5
SF logo
SF@
W
33-21
+12
-3.5
W
61
6
NYJ logo
NYJ
W
28-03
+25
-7
W
14
7
SEA logo
SEA
T
06-06
0
-1.5
L
-5
8
CAR logo
CAR@
L
20-30
-10
+2.5
L
-4
9BYE WEEK
10
SF logo
SF
W
23-20
+3
-14
L
-9
11
MIN logo
MIN@
L
24-30
-6
+2
L
-12
12
ATL logo
ATL@
L
19-38
-19
+4
L
-12
13
WAS logo
WAS
W
31-23
+8
-2.5
W
10
14
MIA logo
MIA@
L
23-26
-3
-2
L
-16
15
NO logo
NO
L
41-48
-7
-3
L
-19
16
SEA logo
SEA@
W
34-31
+3
+9
W
13
17
LAR logo
LAR@
W
44-06
+38
-7
W
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
-0.05
20th
EPA / Pass
+0.01
21st
EPA / Rush
-0.08
20th
Def. EPA / Play
-0.11
2nd
EPA / Pass
-0.07
3rd
EPA / Rush
-0.15
6th
Sack EPA
-4.61
28th
Turnover EPA
-7.56
7th
Point Differential
+3.5
7th
Points For
26.1
6th
Points Against
22.6
14th
Total Yards
366.9
8th
Passing Yards
244.6
5th
Rushing Yards
108.3
17th
Total Yards Allowed
305.3
2nd
Passing Allowed
210.4
18th
Rushing Allowed
94.9
9th

Conversions For

3rd Down
41%
14th
4th Down
50%
14th
Red Zone
65%
5th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
39%
14th
4th Down
47%
13th
Red Zone
56%
17th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.9
29th
Created
1.6
10th

Interceptions

Thrown
1.1
26th
Created
0.9
14th

Fumbles

Lost
0.8
29th
Created
0.8
5th