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ARI logo

Arizona Cardinals

2017 Season

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nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
8-8
nfelo Rating
143022nd
Point Diff / Game
-4.124th
Net EPA / Play
-0.05819th

2017 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
DET logo
DET@
L
23-35
-12
-2
L
-16
2
IND logo
IND@
W
16-13
+3
-7
L
12
3
DAL logo
DAL
L
17-28
-11
+3
L
-52
4
SF logo
SF
W
18-15
+3
-6.5
L
-11
5
PHI logo
PHI@
L
07-34
-27
+6.5
L
-8
6
TB logo
TB
W
38-33
+5
+2.5
W
9
7
LAR logo
LAR@
L
00-33
-33
+3
L
-89
8BYE WEEK
9
SF logo
SF@
W
20-10
+10
-2.5
W
10
10
SEA logo
SEA
L
16-22
-6
+6
P
2
11
HOU logo
HOU@
L
21-31
-10
+2.5
L
-1
12
JAX logo
JAX
W
27-24
+3
+6
W
15
13
LAR logo
LAR
L
16-32
-16
+7
L
-17
14
TEN logo
TEN
W
12-07
+5
+3
W
1
15
WAS logo
WAS@
L
15-20
-5
+4
L
34
16
NYG logo
NYG
W
23-00
+23
-3
W
8
17
SEA logo
SEA@
W
26-24
+2
+8
W
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
-0.17
30th
EPA / Pass
-0.15
29th
EPA / Rush
-0.20
31st
Def. EPA / Play
-0.11
6th
EPA / Pass
-0.07
9th
EPA / Rush
-0.16
3rd
Sack EPA
-5.08
23rd
Turnover EPA
-7.80
5th
Point Differential
-4.1
24th
Points For
18.4
24th
Points Against
22.6
18th
Total Yards
314.3
23rd
Passing Yards
215.1
8th
Rushing Yards
86.6
30th
Total Yards Allowed
311.1
4th
Passing Allowed
221.3
24th
Rushing Allowed
89.8
6th

Conversions For

3rd Down
35%
25th
4th Down
44%
20th
Red Zone
42%
30th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
36%
6th
4th Down
44%
13th
Red Zone
57%
23rd

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.6
26th
Created
1.3
16th

Interceptions

Thrown
1.1
28th
Created
0.9
12th

Fumbles

Lost
0.4
10th
Created
0.4
23rd