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ARI logo

Arizona Cardinals

2018 Season

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nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
3-13
nfelo Rating
126532nd
Point Diff / Game
-12.532nd
Net EPA / Play
-0.25832nd

2018 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
WAS logo
WAS
L
06-24
-18
-2.5
L
-25
2
LAR logo
LAR@
L
00-34
-34
+13
L
-88
3
CHI logo
CHI
L
14-16
-2
+4.5
W
-42
4
SEA logo
SEA
L
17-20
-3
+3.5
W
6
5
SF logo
SF@
W
28-18
+10
+3
W
28
6
MIN logo
MIN@
L
17-27
-10
+9.5
L
24
7
DEN logo
DEN
L
10-45
-35
+1
L
-33
8
SF logo
SF
W
18-15
+3
+2.5
W
10
9BYE WEEK
10
KC logo
KC@
L
14-26
-12
+16
W
-3
11
OAK logo
OAK
L
21-23
-2
-4.5
L
-15
12
LAC logo
LAC@
L
10-45
-35
+14
L
-24
13
GB logo
GB@
W
20-17
+3
+13.5
W
13
14
DET logo
DET
L
03-17
-14
+2.5
L
-48
15
ATL logo
ATL@
L
14-40
-26
+9
L
-20
16
LAR logo
LAR
L
09-31
-22
+14
L
-7
17
SEA logo
SEA@
L
24-27
-3
+15
W
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
-0.28
32nd
EPA / Pass
-0.35
32nd
EPA / Rush
-0.16
30th
Def. EPA / Play
-0.03
14th
EPA / Pass
+0.01
12th
EPA / Rush
+0.03
29th
Sack EPA
-6.20
31st
Turnover EPA
-8.34
3rd
Point Differential
-12.5
32nd
Points For
14.1
32nd
Points Against
26.6
26th
Total Yards
241.8
32nd
Passing Yards
157.8
28th
Rushing Yards
84.0
32nd
Total Yards Allowed
359.2
21st
Passing Allowed
204.0
14th
Rushing Allowed
155.2
32nd

Conversions For

3rd Down
29%
32nd
4th Down
38%
32nd
Red Zone
64%
8th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
38%
16th
4th Down
62%
24th
Red Zone
62%
22nd

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.8
27th
Created
1.0
26th

Interceptions

Thrown
1.1
28th
Created
0.4
29th

Fumbles

Lost
0.6
22nd
Created
0.6
15th