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BAL logo

Baltimore Ravens

2013 Season

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nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
8-8
nfelo Rating
148517th
Point Diff / Game
-2.020th
Net EPA / Play
-0.02720th

2013 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
DEN logo
DEN@
L
27-49
-22
+7.5
L
-25
2
CLE logo
CLE
W
14-06
+8
-6.5
W
-7
3
HOU logo
HOU
W
30-09
+21
7
4
BUF logo
BUF@
L
20-23
-3
-3.5
L
-20
5
MIA logo
MIA@
W
26-23
+3
+2.5
W
3
6
GB logo
GB
L
17-19
-2
+2.5
W
-2
7
PIT logo
PIT@
L
16-19
-3
+2
L
-4
8BYE WEEK
9
CLE logo
CLE@
L
18-24
-6
-2
L
-16
10
CIN logo
CIN
W
20-17
+3
-1.5
W
5
11
CHI logo
CHI@
L
20-23
-3
+3
P
-15
12
NYJ logo
NYJ
W
19-03
+16
-4
W
8
13
PIT logo
PIT
W
22-20
+2
-3
L
3
14
MIN logo
MIN
W
29-26
+3
-6
L
-16
15
DET logo
DET@
W
18-16
+2
+5
W
7
16
NE logo
NE
L
07-41
-34
+1.5
L
-36
17
CIN logo
CIN@
L
17-34
-17
+7
L
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
-0.06
23rd
EPA / Pass
-0.07
21st
EPA / Rush
-0.21
31st
Def. EPA / Play
-0.03
10th
EPA / Pass
+0.02
13th
EPA / Rush
-0.10
10th
Sack EPA
-4.43
19th
Turnover EPA
-6.35
18th
Point Differential
-2.0
20th
Points For
20.0
25th
Points Against
22.0
11th
Total Yards
307.8
28th
Passing Yards
224.6
12th
Rushing Yards
83.1
30th
Total Yards Allowed
335.5
12th
Passing Allowed
179.9
4th
Rushing Allowed
105.4
10th

Conversions For

3rd Down
36%
20th
4th Down
38%
23rd
Red Zone
46%
31st

Conversions Against

3rd Down
33%
3rd
4th Down
57%
23rd
Red Zone
49%
8th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.9
24th
Created
1.4
22nd

Interceptions

Thrown
1.4
31st
Created
1.0
14th

Fumbles

Lost
0.5
9th
Created
0.4
29th