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BAL logo

Baltimore Ravens

2019 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
14-3
nfelo Rating
17721st
Point Diff / Game
+13.71st
Net EPA / Play
+0.2421st

2019 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
MIA logo
MIA@
W
59-10
+49
-7
W
60
2
ARI logo
ARI
W
23-17
+6
-13
L
4
3
KC logo
KC@
L
28-33
-5
+4.5
L
-2
4
CLE logo
CLE
L
25-40
-15
-7
L
-10
5
PIT logo
PIT@
W
26-23
+3
-3
P
-15
6
CIN logo
CIN
W
23-17
+6
-10.5
L
5
7
SEA logo
SEA@
W
30-16
+14
+3
W
17
8BYE WEEK
9
NE logo
NE
W
37-20
+17
+3
W
20
10
CIN logo
CIN@
W
49-13
+36
-10.5
W
20
11
HOU logo
HOU
W
41-07
+34
-4.5
W
29
12
LAR logo
LAR@
W
45-06
+39
-3
W
60
13
SF logo
SF
W
20-17
+3
-6
L
-17
14
BUF logo
BUF@
W
24-17
+7
-6.5
W
5
15
NYJ logo
NYJ
W
42-21
+21
-17
W
10
16
CLE logo
CLE@
W
31-15
+16
-10
W
-257
17
PIT logo
PIT
W
28-10
+18
+1.5
W
299
18BYE WEEK
19
TEN logo
TEN
L
12-28
-16
-10
L
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
+0.16
1st
EPA / Pass
+0.25
1st
EPA / Rush
+0.10
1st
Def. EPA / Play
-0.08
7th
EPA / Pass
-0.16
3rd
EPA / Rush
-0.03
21st
Sack EPA
-2.27
1st
Turnover EPA
-3.87
30th
Point Differential
+13.7
1st
Points For
31.9
1st
Points Against
18.2
3rd
Total Yards
415.0
2nd
Passing Yards
182.2
23rd
Rushing Yards
205.0
1st
Total Yards Allowed
300.9
3rd
Passing Allowed
200.2
14th
Rushing Allowed
100.6
7th

Conversions For

3rd Down
48%
1st
4th Down
61%
5th
Red Zone
65%
5th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
38%
14th
4th Down
33%
3rd
Red Zone
51%
7th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.1
5th
Created
1.5
8th

Interceptions

Thrown
0.6
10th
Created
0.8
16th

Fumbles

Lost
0.5
9th
Created
0.7
6th