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BAL logo

Baltimore Ravens

2022 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
10-8
nfelo Rating
148516th
Point Diff / Game
+1.68th
Net EPA / Play
+0.0438th

2022 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
NYJ logo
NYJ@
W
24-09
+15
-7
W
33
2
MIA logo
MIA
L
38-42
-4
-3
L
14
3
NE logo
NE@
W
37-26
+11
-2.5
W
31
4
BUF logo
BUF
L
20-23
-3
+3
P
-16
5
CIN logo
CIN
W
19-17
+2
-3
L
-6
6
NYG logo
NYG@
L
20-24
-4
-5.5
L
-18
7
CLE logo
CLE
W
23-20
+3
-6.5
L
-15
8
TB logo
TB@
W
27-22
+5
+2
W
18
9
NO logo
NO@
W
27-13
+14
-1.5
W
8
10BYE WEEK
11
CAR logo
CAR
W
13-03
+10
-13
L
-2
12
JAX logo
JAX@
L
27-28
-1
-3
L
-8
13
DEN logo
DEN
W
10-09
+1
-8.5
L
-151
14
PIT logo
PIT@
W
16-14
+2
+1.5
W
19
15
CLE logo
CLE@
L
03-13
-10
+3
L
-3
16
ATL logo
ATL
W
17-09
+8
-6.5
W
13
17
PIT logo
PIT
L
13-16
-3
-1
L
-47
18
CIN logo
CIN@
L
16-27
-11
+11
P
69
19
CIN logo
CIN@
L
17-24
-7
+7.5
W
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
+0.01
12th
EPA / Pass
-0.06
21st
EPA / Rush
+0.04
5th
Def. EPA / Play
-0.03
11th
EPA / Pass
+0.02
18th
EPA / Rush
-0.09
6th
Sack EPA
-3.24
5th
Turnover EPA
-5.29
18th
Point Differential
+1.6
8th
Points For
20.4
20th
Points Against
18.8
3rd
Total Yards
340.4
16th
Passing Yards
156.6
28th
Rushing Yards
159.8
3rd
Total Yards Allowed
319.5
6th
Passing Allowed
229.7
31st
Rushing Allowed
89.8
3rd

Conversions For

3rd Down
41%
12th
4th Down
43%
25th
Red Zone
44%
30th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
36%
4th
4th Down
63%
28th
Red Zone
48%
4th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.3
18th
Created
1.4
12th

Interceptions

Thrown
0.8
16th
Created
0.8
16th

Fumbles

Lost
0.6
18th
Created
0.6
7th