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  4. 2024
BAL logo

Baltimore Ravens

2024 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
13-6
nfelo Rating
17811st
Point Diff / Game
+8.94th
Net EPA / Play
+0.1654th

2024 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
KC logo
KC@
L
20-27
-7
+3
L
4
2
OAK logo
OAK
L
23-26
-3
-8.5
L
-19
3
DAL logo
DAL@
W
28-25
+3
-1.5
W
41
4
BUF logo
BUF
W
35-10
+25
-2.5
W
17
5
CIN logo
CIN@
W
41-38
+3
-2.5
W
13
6
WAS logo
WAS
W
30-23
+7
-7
P
-16
7
TB logo
TB@
W
41-31
+10
-3.5
W
19
8
CLE logo
CLE@
L
24-29
-5
-7.5
L
-11
9
DEN logo
DEN
W
41-10
+31
-9
W
14
10
CIN logo
CIN
W
35-34
+1
-6
L
1
11
PIT logo
PIT@
L
16-18
-2
-3
L
-20
12
LAC logo
LAC@
W
30-23
+7
-3
W
22
13
PHI logo
PHI
L
19-24
-5
-3
L
-8
14BYE WEEK
15
NYG logo
NYG@
W
35-14
+21
-16.5
W
33
16
PIT logo
PIT
W
34-17
+17
-7
W
5
17
HOU logo
HOU@
W
31-02
+29
-6.5
W
43
18
CLE logo
CLE
W
35-10
+25
-20
W
18
19
PIT logo
PIT
W
28-14
+14
-9.5
W
4
20
BUF logo
BUF@
L
25-27
-2
-1.5
L
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
+0.19
1st
EPA / Pass
+0.33
1st
EPA / Rush
+0.10
1st
Def. EPA / Play
+0.02
19th
EPA / Pass
+0.00
11th
EPA / Rush
-0.12
3rd
Sack EPA
-2.72
4th
Turnover EPA
-3.72
27th
Point Differential
+8.9
4th
Points For
30.1
3rd
Points Against
21.2
8th
Total Yards
425.3
1st
Passing Yards
197.4
13th
Rushing Yards
191.6
1st
Total Yards Allowed
319.4
8th
Passing Allowed
238.4
32nd
Rushing Allowed
81.0
1st

Conversions For

3rd Down
50%
2nd
4th Down
56%
15th
Red Zone
72%
1st

Conversions Against

3rd Down
40%
20th
4th Down
43%
2nd
Red Zone
56%
14th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
0.7
4th
Created
0.9
26th

Interceptions

Thrown
0.3
1st
Created
0.6
21st

Fumbles

Lost
0.5
15th
Created
0.3
29th