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nfelo

Platform
    • Games
    • Confidence Pool
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    • Model Performance
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Buffalo Bills

AFC East

nfelo History

Current nfelo
1668
Week 22, 2024
Best nfelo
1713
Week 20, 2023
Worst nfelo
1265
Week 10, 2018

Season History

2024
15-5
PF: 30.6 |PA: 21.6
nfelo: 1695
Rank #4
2023
12-7
PF: 26.6 |PA: 18.7
nfelo: 1729
Rank #1
2022
14-4
PF: 27.7 |PA: 19.1
nfelo: 1649
Rank #3
2021
12-7
PF: 29.8 |PA: 18.3
nfelo: 1723
Rank #2
2020
15-4
PF: 29.9 |PA: 23.2
nfelo: 1704
Rank #3
2019
10-7
PF: 19.6 |PA: 16.5
nfelo: 1447
Rank #22
2018
6-10
PF: 16.8 |PA: 23.4
nfelo: 1352
Rank #29
2017
9-8
PF: 17.9 |PA: 21.7
nfelo: 1471
Rank #17
2016
7-9
PF: 24.9 |PA: 23.6
nfelo: 1468
Rank #22
2015
8-8
PF: 23.7 |PA: 22.4
nfelo: 1532
Rank #12
2014
9-7
PF: 21.4 |PA: 18.1
nfelo: 1574
Rank #8
2013
6-10
PF: 21.2 |PA: 24.3
nfelo: 1423
Rank #25
2012
6-10
PF: 21.5 |PA: 27.2
nfelo: 1413
Rank #26
2011
6-10
PF: 23.3 |PA: 27.1
nfelo: 1437
Rank #25
2010
4-12
PF: 17.7 |PA: 26.6
nfelo: 1386
Rank #26
2009
6-10
PF: 16.1 |PA: 20.4
nfelo: 1358
Rank #27
nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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