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  4. 2009
CAR logo

Carolina Panthers

2009 Season

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nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
8-8
nfelo Rating
152517th
Point Diff / Game
+0.416th
Net EPA / Play
+0.01216th

2009 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
PHI logo
PHI
L
10-38
-28
+2.5
L
-37
2
ATL logo
ATL@
L
20-28
-8
+6
L
-5
3
DAL logo
DAL@
L
07-21
-14
+8.5
L
-7
4BYE WEEK
5
WAS logo
WAS
W
20-17
+3
-5
L
-4
6
TB logo
TB@
W
28-21
+7
-3
W
1
7
BUF logo
BUF
L
09-20
-11
-7
L
-8
8
ARI logo
ARI@
W
34-21
+13
+10
W
13
9
NO logo
NO@
L
20-30
-10
+11.5
W
9
10
ATL logo
ATL
W
28-19
+9
+1.5
W
17
11
MIA logo
MIA
L
17-24
-7
-3.5
L
-13
12
NYJ logo
NYJ@
L
06-17
-11
+3
L
-28
13
TB logo
TB
W
16-06
+10
-4
W
7
14
NE logo
NE@
L
10-20
-10
+13
W
8
15
MIN logo
MIN
W
26-07
+19
+8.5
W
24
16
NYG logo
NYG@
W
41-09
+32
+8.5
W
23
17
NO logo
NO
W
23-10
+13
-10
W
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
-0.06
22nd
EPA / Pass
-0.10
22nd
EPA / Rush
-0.01
8th
Def. EPA / Play
-0.07
6th
EPA / Pass
-0.14
4th
EPA / Rush
-0.03
23rd
Sack EPA
-3.82
18th
Turnover EPA
-7.66
9th
Point Differential
+0.4
16th
Points For
19.7
21st
Points Against
19.3
9th
Total Yards
331.3
19th
Passing Yards
162.9
22nd
Rushing Yards
156.3
3rd
Total Yards Allowed
315.9
8th
Passing Allowed
134.1
3rd
Rushing Allowed
124.9
23rd

Conversions For

3rd Down
37%
19th
4th Down
45%
21st
Red Zone
50%
18th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
36%
6th
4th Down
53%
21st
Red Zone
49%
12th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.9
21st
Created
2.4
3rd

Interceptions

Thrown
1.3
28th
Created
1.4
6th

Fumbles

Lost
0.6
13th
Created
1.0
2nd