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  4. 2011
CAR logo

Carolina Panthers

2011 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
6-10
nfelo Rating
151117th
Point Diff / Game
-1.420th
Net EPA / Play
-0.03420th

2011 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
ARI logo
ARI@
L
21-28
-7
+7
P
-6
2
GB logo
GB
L
23-30
-7
+10.5
W
3
3
JAX logo
JAX
W
16-10
+6
-3.5
W
37
4
CHI logo
CHI@
L
29-34
-5
+7
W
14
5
NO logo
NO
L
27-30
-3
+6.5
W
4
6
ATL logo
ATL@
L
17-31
-14
+3.5
L
-14
7
WAS logo
WAS
W
33-20
+13
-2.5
W
24
8
MIN logo
MIN
L
21-24
-3
-3
L
-2
9BYE WEEK
10
TEN logo
TEN
L
03-30
-27
-3.5
L
-24
11
DET logo
DET@
L
35-49
-14
+7
L
-8
12
IND logo
IND@
W
27-19
+8
-3.5
W
22
13
TB logo
TB@
W
38-19
+19
-1
W
17
14
ATL logo
ATL
L
23-31
-8
+3
L
-14
15
HOU logo
HOU@
W
28-13
+15
+5
W
15
16
TB logo
TB
W
48-16
+32
-7.5
W
37
17
NO logo
NO@
L
17-45
-28
+7
L
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
+0.07
6th
EPA / Pass
+0.07
11th
EPA / Rush
+0.15
1st
Def. EPA / Play
+0.10
31st
EPA / Pass
+0.19
32nd
EPA / Rush
+0.01
28th
Sack EPA
-3.65
15th
Turnover EPA
-6.15
18th
Point Differential
-1.4
20th
Points For
25.4
5th
Points Against
26.8
27th
Total Yards
390.1
7th
Passing Yards
206.2
12th
Rushing Yards
150.5
3rd
Total Yards Allowed
377.6
27th
Passing Allowed
221.3
25th
Rushing Allowed
130.8
24th

Conversions For

3rd Down
41%
10th
4th Down
60%
4th
Red Zone
58%
7th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
43%
26th
4th Down
33%
7th
Red Zone
59%
28th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.4
12th
Created
1.5
19th

Interceptions

Thrown
1.1
21st
Created
0.9
20th

Fumbles

Lost
0.4
2nd
Created
0.6
12th