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  4. 2022
CAR logo

Carolina Panthers

2022 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
7-10
nfelo Rating
145819th
Point Diff / Game
-1.623rd
Net EPA / Play
-0.02719th

2022 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
CLE logo
CLE
L
24-26
-2
-1
L
-6
2
NYG logo
NYG@
L
16-19
-3
-1
L
2
3
NO logo
NO
W
22-14
+8
+2
W
11
4
ARI logo
ARI
L
16-26
-10
-1
L
-12
5
SF logo
SF
L
15-37
-22
+6
L
-61
6
LAR logo
LAR@
L
10-24
-14
+10
L
-3
7
TB logo
TB
W
21-03
+18
+13
W
26
8
ATL logo
ATL@
L
34-37
-3
+4
W
23
9
CIN logo
CIN@
L
21-42
-21
+7
L
-14
10
ATL logo
ATL
W
25-15
+10
+2.5
W
52
11
BAL logo
BAL@
L
03-13
-10
+13
W
25
12
DEN logo
DEN
W
23-10
+13
+2.5
W
14
13BYE WEEK
14
SEA logo
SEA@
W
30-24
+6
+3.5
W
7
15
PIT logo
PIT
L
16-24
-8
-2.5
L
-12
16
DET logo
DET
W
37-23
+14
+2.5
W
16
17
TB logo
TB@
L
24-30
-6
+3
L
0
18
NO logo
NO@
W
10-07
+3
+3.5
W
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
-0.05
20th
EPA / Pass
-0.11
24th
EPA / Rush
+0.02
9th
Def. EPA / Play
-0.02
15th
EPA / Pass
+0.05
23rd
EPA / Rush
-0.06
11th
Sack EPA
-3.34
7th
Turnover EPA
-5.24
19th
Point Differential
-1.6
23rd
Points For
20.4
19th
Points Against
22.0
17th
Total Yards
306.4
29th
Passing Yards
142.2
30th
Rushing Yards
130.1
10th
Total Yards Allowed
350.3
22nd
Passing Allowed
227.6
30th
Rushing Allowed
122.6
18th

Conversions For

3rd Down
32%
30th
4th Down
57%
7th
Red Zone
57%
12th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
41%
23rd
4th Down
44%
9th
Red Zone
56%
18th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.2
9th
Created
1.1
25th

Interceptions

Thrown
0.8
15th
Created
0.6
24th

Fumbles

Lost
0.4
7th
Created
0.5
20th