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CIN logo

Cincinnati Bengals

2015 Season

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nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
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  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
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  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
12-5
nfelo Rating
156310th
Point Diff / Game
+8.14th
Net EPA / Play
+0.1406th

2015 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
OAK logo
OAK@
W
33-13
+20
-3
W
32
2
LAC logo
LAC
W
24-19
+5
-3.5
W
0
3
BAL logo
BAL@
W
28-24
+4
+1.5
W
16
4
KC logo
KC
W
36-21
+15
-3.5
W
15
5
SEA logo
SEA
W
27-24
+3
-3
P
2
6
BUF logo
BUF@
W
34-21
+13
-3
W
39
7BYE WEEK
8
PIT logo
PIT@
W
16-10
+6
-6
9
CLE logo
CLE
W
31-10
+21
-13
W
10
10
HOU logo
HOU
L
06-10
-4
-10
L
-20
11
ARI logo
ARI@
L
31-34
-3
+4
W
20
12
LAR logo
LAR
W
31-07
+24
-9.5
W
23
13
CLE logo
CLE@
W
37-03
+34
-7.5
W
14
14
PIT logo
PIT
L
20-33
-13
-1
L
-174
15
SF logo
SF@
W
24-14
+10
-6.5
W
41
16
DEN logo
DEN@
L
17-20
-3
+4
W
27
17
BAL logo
BAL
W
24-16
+8
-9.5
L
3
18
PIT logo
PIT
L
16-18
-2
+2.5
W
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
+0.05
6th
EPA / Pass
+0.20
2nd
EPA / Rush
-0.12
23rd
Def. EPA / Play
-0.09
7th
EPA / Pass
-0.07
5th
EPA / Rush
-0.05
23rd
Sack EPA
-3.58
8th
Turnover EPA
-5.28
25th
Point Differential
+8.1
4th
Points For
25.6
5th
Points Against
17.5
2nd
Total Yards
353.5
16th
Passing Yards
166.4
30th
Rushing Yards
111.6
13th
Total Yards Allowed
342.5
13th
Passing Allowed
224.5
24th
Rushing Allowed
96.7
7th

Conversions For

3rd Down
40%
14th
4th Down
62%
4th
Red Zone
65%
5th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
38%
14th
4th Down
48%
16th
Red Zone
45%
4th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.3
11th
Created
1.7
7th

Interceptions

Thrown
0.6
6th
Created
1.3
3rd

Fumbles

Lost
0.7
25th
Created
0.4
27th