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CIN logo

Cincinnati Bengals

2017 Season

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nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
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    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
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    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
7-9
nfelo Rating
140626th
Point Diff / Game
-3.721st
Net EPA / Play
-0.09025th

2017 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
BAL logo
BAL
L
00-20
-20
-3
L
-33
2
HOU logo
HOU
L
09-13
-4
-5.5
L
-7
3
GB logo
GB@
L
24-27
-3
+7
W
16
4
CLE logo
CLE@
W
31-07
+24
-3.5
W
29
5
BUF logo
BUF
W
20-16
+4
-3
W
2
6BYE WEEK
7
PIT logo
PIT@
L
14-29
-15
+4
L
-21
8
IND logo
IND
W
24-23
+1
-10.5
L
-8
9
JAX logo
JAX@
L
07-23
-16
+5.5
L
-27
10
TEN logo
TEN@
L
20-24
-4
+4.5
W
8
11
DEN logo
DEN@
W
20-17
+3
+2.5
W
10
12
CLE logo
CLE
W
30-16
+14
-7.5
W
7
13
PIT logo
PIT
L
20-23
-3
+4.5
W
7
14
CHI logo
CHI
L
07-33
-26
-6
L
-32
15
MIN logo
MIN@
L
07-34
-27
+13
L
-59
16
DET logo
DET
W
26-17
+9
+3
W
9
17
BAL logo
BAL@
W
31-27
+4
+8
W
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
-0.13
26th
EPA / Pass
-0.10
21st
EPA / Rush
-0.15
28th
Def. EPA / Play
-0.04
14th
EPA / Pass
-0.07
10th
EPA / Rush
-0.03
25th
Sack EPA
-4.48
17th
Turnover EPA
-6.30
12th
Point Differential
-3.7
21st
Points For
18.1
25th
Points Against
21.8
17th
Total Yards
280.5
32nd
Passing Yards
195.1
18th
Rushing Yards
85.4
31st
Total Yards Allowed
339.1
18th
Passing Allowed
178.3
8th
Rushing Allowed
127.9
30th

Conversions For

3rd Down
34%
29th
4th Down
42%
21st
Red Zone
56%
11th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
41%
24th
4th Down
47%
16th
Red Zone
46%
5th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.3
16th
Created
1.0
26th

Interceptions

Thrown
0.8
13th
Created
0.7
18th

Fumbles

Lost
0.6
21st
Created
0.3
28th