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CIN logo

Cincinnati Bengals

2019 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
2-14
nfelo Rating
134128th
Point Diff / Game
-8.830th
Net EPA / Play
-0.16130th

2019 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
SEA logo
SEA@
L
20-21
-1
+9.5
W
17
2
SF logo
SF
L
17-41
-24
-1
L
-32
3
BUF logo
BUF@
L
17-21
-4
+6
W
-2
4
PIT logo
PIT@
L
03-27
-24
+3.5
L
-49
5
ARI logo
ARI
L
23-26
-3
-3
L
-6
6
BAL logo
BAL@
L
17-23
-6
+10.5
W
4
7
JAX logo
JAX
L
17-27
-10
+4.5
L
-39
8
LAR logo
LAR@
L
10-24
-14
+11.5
L
-61
9BYE WEEK
10
BAL logo
BAL
L
13-49
-36
+10.5
L
-10
11
OAK logo
OAK@
L
10-17
-7
+13
W
-2
12
PIT logo
PIT
L
10-16
-6
+6
P
81
13
NYJ logo
NYJ
W
22-06
+16
+2.5
W
10
14
CLE logo
CLE@
L
19-27
-8
+6.5
L
-3
15
NE logo
NE
L
13-34
-21
+10.5
L
-16
16
MIA logo
MIA@
L
35-38
-3
-1.5
L
2
17
CLE logo
CLE
W
33-23
+10
+2.5
W
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
-0.09
25th
EPA / Pass
-0.14
29th
EPA / Rush
-0.08
22nd
Def. EPA / Play
+0.07
30th
EPA / Pass
+0.19
29th
EPA / Rush
-0.00
27th
Sack EPA
-5.96
28th
Turnover EPA
-8.29
6th
Point Differential
-8.8
30th
Points For
17.4
30th
Points Against
26.3
25th
Total Yards
323.3
26th
Passing Yards
218.9
11th
Rushing Yards
94.9
25th
Total Yards Allowed
393.9
29th
Passing Allowed
186.1
9th
Rushing Allowed
148.9
32nd

Conversions For

3rd Down
36%
24th
4th Down
50%
12th
Red Zone
44%
30th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
43%
25th
4th Down
50%
20th
Red Zone
49%
4th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.8
27th
Created
1.1
23rd

Interceptions

Thrown
1.0
23rd
Created
0.7
21st

Fumbles

Lost
0.8
27th
Created
0.4
25th