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CIN logo

Cincinnati Bengals

2020 Season

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nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
4-11-1
nfelo Rating
131131st
Point Diff / Game
-7.128th
Net EPA / Play
-0.13128th

2020 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
LAC logo
LAC
L
13-16
-3
+2.5
L
1
2
CLE logo
CLE@
L
30-35
-5
+6
W
-1
3
PHI logo
PHI@
T
23-23
0
+5.5
W
5
4
JAX logo
JAX
W
33-25
+8
-1.5
W
28
5
BAL logo
BAL@
L
03-27
-24
+12.5
L
-38
6
IND logo
IND@
L
27-31
-4
+7.5
W
9
7
CLE logo
CLE
L
34-37
-3
+4
W
19
8
TEN logo
TEN
W
31-20
+11
+7
W
15
9BYE WEEK
10
PIT logo
PIT@
L
10-36
-26
+6.5
L
-16
11
WAS logo
WAS@
L
09-20
-11
+1.5
L
-148
12
NYG logo
NYG
L
17-19
-2
+6.5
W
8
13
MIA logo
MIA@
L
07-19
-12
+10
L
-13
14
DAL logo
DAL
L
07-30
-23
+3
L
19
15
PIT logo
PIT
W
27-17
+10
+14.5
W
-9
16
HOU logo
HOU@
W
37-31
+6
+7.5
W
31
17
BAL logo
BAL
L
03-38
-35
+13.5
L
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
-0.05
25th
EPA / Pass
-0.01
23rd
EPA / Rush
-0.11
30th
Def. EPA / Play
+0.08
26th
EPA / Pass
+0.13
24th
EPA / Rush
+0.04
27th
Sack EPA
-5.19
25th
Turnover EPA
-7.37
6th
Point Differential
-7.1
28th
Points For
19.4
29th
Points Against
26.5
21st
Total Yards
319.8
30th
Passing Yards
173.8
27th
Rushing Yards
104.3
23rd
Total Yards Allowed
389.2
25th
Passing Allowed
145.6
2nd
Rushing Allowed
148.0
29th

Conversions For

3rd Down
36%
30th
4th Down
70%
4th
Red Zone
50%
29th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
43%
20th
4th Down
63%
24th
Red Zone
64%
26th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.4
21st
Created
1.1
25th

Interceptions

Thrown
0.7
11th
Created
0.7
20th

Fumbles

Lost
0.8
27th
Created
0.4
24th