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CIN logo

Cincinnati Bengals

2022 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
14-5
nfelo Rating
16444th
Point Diff / Game
+6.26th
Net EPA / Play
+0.1166th

2022 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
PIT logo
PIT
L
20-23
-3
-7
L
-16
2
DAL logo
DAL@
L
17-20
-3
-7
L
-11
3
NYJ logo
NYJ@
W
27-12
+15
-6.5
W
31
4
MIA logo
MIA
W
27-15
+12
-4
W
19
5
BAL logo
BAL@
L
17-19
-2
+3
W
0
6
NO logo
NO@
W
30-26
+4
-3
W
16
7
ATL logo
ATL
W
35-17
+18
-6.5
W
25
8
CLE logo
CLE@
L
13-32
-19
-3
L
-32
9
CAR logo
CAR
W
42-21
+21
-7
W
11
10BYE WEEK
11
PIT logo
PIT@
W
37-30
+7
-3.5
W
0
12
TEN logo
TEN@
W
20-16
+4
-2
W
18
13
KC logo
KC
W
27-24
+3
+2.5
W
14
14
CLE logo
CLE
W
23-10
+13
-6
W
18
15
TB logo
TB@
W
34-23
+11
-3.5
W
6
16
NE logo
NE@
W
22-18
+4
-3
W
9
17BYE WEEK
18
BAL logo
BAL
W
27-16
+11
-11
P
-14
19
BAL logo
BAL
W
24-17
+7
-7.5
L
-11
20
BUF logo
BUF@
W
27-10
+17
+6
W
15
21
KC logo
KC@
L
20-23
-3
+2
L
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
+0.06
5th
EPA / Pass
+0.13
4th
EPA / Rush
-0.03
18th
Def. EPA / Play
-0.06
7th
EPA / Pass
-0.04
10th
EPA / Rush
-0.06
13th
Sack EPA
-5.02
25th
Turnover EPA
-4.61
23rd
Point Differential
+6.2
6th
Points For
25.7
7th
Points Against
19.6
5th
Total Yards
354.3
11th
Passing Yards
258.4
1st
Rushing Yards
95.9
28th
Total Yards Allowed
337.8
17th
Passing Allowed
225.6
29th
Rushing Allowed
103.6
5th

Conversions For

3rd Down
47%
4th
4th Down
31%
32nd
Red Zone
64%
7th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
40%
19th
4th Down
45%
12th
Red Zone
50%
5th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.1
5th
Created
1.5
8th

Interceptions

Thrown
0.7
13th
Created
0.8
15th

Fumbles

Lost
0.3
4th
Created
0.7
3rd