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  4. 2024
CIN logo

Cincinnati Bengals

2024 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
9-8
nfelo Rating
16159th
Point Diff / Game
+2.212th
Net EPA / Play
+0.04512th

2024 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
NE logo
NE
L
10-16
-6
-7.5
L
-14
2
KC logo
KC@
L
25-26
-1
+6.5
W
11
3
WAS logo
WAS
L
33-38
-5
-7.5
L
-21
4
CAR logo
CAR@
W
34-24
+10
-4.5
W
19
5
BAL logo
BAL
L
38-41
-3
+2.5
L
9
6
NYG logo
NYG@
W
17-07
+10
-4.5
W
15
7
CLE logo
CLE@
W
21-14
+7
-5.5
W
5
8
PHI logo
PHI
L
17-37
-20
-2.5
L
-27
9
OAK logo
OAK
W
41-24
+17
-8
W
14
10
BAL logo
BAL@
L
34-35
-1
+6
W
14
11
LAC logo
LAC@
L
27-34
-7
+1
L
-3
12BYE WEEK
13
PIT logo
PIT
L
38-44
-6
-3
L
-11
14
DAL logo
DAL@
W
27-20
+7
-5
W
7
15
TEN logo
TEN@
W
37-27
+10
-5
W
2
16
CLE logo
CLE
W
24-06
+18
-10
W
8
17
DEN logo
DEN
W
30-24
+6
-3.5
W
13
18
PIT logo
PIT@
W
19-17
+2
-2.5
L
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
+0.12
6th
EPA / Pass
+0.15
5th
EPA / Rush
-0.02
14th
Def. EPA / Play
+0.07
28th
EPA / Pass
+0.04
17th
EPA / Rush
+0.02
25th
Sack EPA
-5.66
26th
Turnover EPA
-5.01
18th
Point Differential
+2.2
12th
Points For
27.8
7th
Points Against
25.5
25th
Total Yards
365.6
9th
Passing Yards
259.3
1st
Rushing Yards
92.7
30th
Total Yards Allowed
348.5
24th
Passing Allowed
179.7
13th
Rushing Allowed
124.9
19th

Conversions For

3rd Down
47%
5th
4th Down
53%
21st
Red Zone
64%
5th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
42%
23rd
4th Down
59%
19th
Red Zone
68%
30th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.2
16th
Created
1.5
7th

Interceptions

Thrown
0.5
9th
Created
0.9
9th

Fumbles

Lost
0.7
27th
Created
0.6
8th