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CLE logo

Cleveland Browns

2014 Season

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nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
7-9
nfelo Rating
140126th
Point Diff / Game
-2.425th
Net EPA / Play
-0.04725th

2014 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
PIT logo
PIT@
L
27-30
-3
+6
W
19
2
NO logo
NO
W
26-24
+2
+5
W
13
3
BAL logo
BAL
L
21-23
-2
+2
P
13
4BYE WEEK
5
TEN logo
TEN@
W
29-28
+1
-1
P
24
6
PIT logo
PIT
W
31-10
+21
-1.5
W
41
7
JAX logo
JAX@
L
06-24
-18
-4
L
-23
8
OAK logo
OAK
W
23-13
+10
-6.5
W
12
9
TB logo
TB
W
22-17
+5
-7
L
-7
10
CIN logo
CIN@
W
24-03
+21
+6.5
W
16
11
HOU logo
HOU
L
07-23
-16
-4
L
-17
12
ATL logo
ATL@
W
26-24
+2
+2.5
W
11
13
BUF logo
BUF@
L
10-26
-16
+3
L
-11
14
IND logo
IND
L
24-25
-1
+3
W
49
15
CIN logo
CIN
L
00-30
-30
-2
L
-36
16
CAR logo
CAR@
L
13-17
-4
+6
W
-86
17
BAL logo
BAL@
L
10-20
-10
+14
W
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
-0.11
27th
EPA / Pass
-0.04
22nd
EPA / Rush
-0.12
23rd
Def. EPA / Play
-0.06
8th
EPA / Pass
-0.10
3rd
EPA / Rush
-0.03
29th
Sack EPA
-3.31
8th
Turnover EPA
-5.31
25th
Point Differential
-2.4
25th
Points For
18.7
27th
Points Against
21.1
9th
Total Yards
324.6
23rd
Passing Yards
186.1
22nd
Rushing Yards
108.0
16th
Total Yards Allowed
366.1
22nd
Passing Allowed
197.8
17th
Rushing Allowed
141.6
32nd

Conversions For

3rd Down
29%
32nd
4th Down
36%
27th
Red Zone
49%
23rd

Conversions Against

3rd Down
38%
11th
4th Down
61%
29th
Red Zone
46%
6th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.4
11th
Created
1.9
3rd

Interceptions

Thrown
1.0
19th
Created
1.3
2nd

Fumbles

Lost
0.4
4th
Created
0.6
16th