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CLE logo

Cleveland Browns

2016 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
1-15
nfelo Rating
128032nd
Point Diff / Game
-11.832nd
Net EPA / Play
-0.20532nd

2016 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
PHI logo
PHI@
L
10-29
-19
+4
L
19
2
BAL logo
BAL
L
20-25
-5
+4.5
L
-57
3
MIA logo
MIA@
L
24-30
-6
+10
W
5
4
WAS logo
WAS@
L
20-31
-11
+7.5
L
-2
5
NE logo
NE
L
13-33
-20
+10
L
-9
6
TEN logo
TEN@
L
26-28
-2
+7.5
W
9
7
CIN logo
CIN@
L
17-31
-14
+11.5
L
25
8
NYJ logo
NYJ
L
28-31
-3
+2.5
L
-36
9
DAL logo
DAL
L
10-35
-25
+7
L
-29
10
BAL logo
BAL@
L
07-28
-21
+7.5
L
-8
11
PIT logo
PIT
L
09-24
-15
+9
L
33
12
NYG logo
NYG
L
13-27
-14
+6.5
L
-55
13BYE WEEK
14
CIN logo
CIN
L
10-23
-13
+5
L
-12
15
BUF logo
BUF@
L
13-33
-20
+10.5
L
-5
16
LAC logo
LAC
W
20-17
+3
+5
W
5
17
PIT logo
PIT@
L
24-27
-3
+3.5
W
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
-0.09
27th
EPA / Pass
-0.06
27th
EPA / Rush
-0.10
23rd
Def. EPA / Play
+0.11
32nd
EPA / Pass
+0.25
32nd
EPA / Rush
+0.01
30th
Sack EPA
-7.42
32nd
Turnover EPA
-5.61
16th
Point Differential
-11.8
32nd
Points For
16.5
31st
Points Against
28.3
30th
Total Yards
311.3
30th
Passing Yards
204.3
16th
Rushing Yards
107.0
18th
Total Yards Allowed
392.7
31st
Passing Allowed
184.5
9th
Rushing Allowed
142.7
30th

Conversions For

3rd Down
36%
25th
4th Down
72%
5th
Red Zone
55%
15th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
45%
30th
4th Down
75%
29th
Red Zone
65%
29th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.6
23rd
Created
0.8
31st

Interceptions

Thrown
0.9
16th
Created
0.6
22nd

Fumbles

Lost
0.8
27th
Created
0.1
32nd