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CLE logo

Cleveland Browns

2017 Season

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nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
0-16
nfelo Rating
127832nd
Point Diff / Game
-11.032nd
Net EPA / Play
-0.20032nd

2017 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
PIT logo
PIT
L
18-21
-3
+10
W
5
2
BAL logo
BAL@
L
10-24
-14
+7.5
L
-15
3
IND logo
IND@
L
28-31
-3
-1
L
15
4
CIN logo
CIN
L
07-31
-24
+3.5
L
-21
5
NYJ logo
NYJ
L
14-17
-3
+1.5
L
-48
6
HOU logo
HOU@
L
17-33
-16
+7.5
L
22
7
TEN logo
TEN
L
09-12
-3
+6
W
-1
8
MIN logo
MIN
L
16-33
-17
+11
L
-37
9BYE WEEK
10
DET logo
DET@
L
24-38
-14
+10
L
6
11
JAX logo
JAX
L
07-19
-12
+7
L
-14
12
CIN logo
CIN@
L
16-30
-14
+7.5
L
7
13
LAC logo
LAC@
L
10-19
-9
+13.5
W
23
14
GB logo
GB
L
21-27
-6
+2.5
L
-3
15
BAL logo
BAL
L
10-27
-17
+7
L
-14
16
CHI logo
CHI@
L
03-20
-17
+5.5
L
-14
17
PIT logo
PIT@
L
24-28
-4
+5
W
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
-0.18
31st
EPA / Pass
-0.29
32nd
EPA / Rush
-0.01
4th
Def. EPA / Play
+0.02
27th
EPA / Pass
+0.11
27th
EPA / Rush
-0.14
4th
Sack EPA
-5.48
28th
Turnover EPA
-10.35
1st
Point Differential
-11.0
32nd
Points For
14.6
32nd
Points Against
25.6
31st
Total Yards
309.0
24th
Passing Yards
201.8
15th
Rushing Yards
107.3
18th
Total Yards Allowed
328.4
13th
Passing Allowed
230.3
31st
Rushing Allowed
98.0
7th

Conversions For

3rd Down
34%
28th
4th Down
52%
12th
Red Zone
49%
24th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
41%
23rd
4th Down
50%
18th
Red Zone
67%
32nd

Turnovers / Game

Committed
2.4
32nd
Created
0.9
29th

Interceptions

Thrown
1.8
32nd
Created
0.4
31st

Fumbles

Lost
0.7
25th
Created
0.5
18th