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  4. 2025
CLE logo

Cleveland Browns

2025 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
3-10
nfelo Rating
136928th
Point Diff / Game
-6.025th
Net EPA / Play
-0.11426th

2025 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
CIN logo
CIN
L
16-17
-1
+5.5
W
4
2
BAL logo
BAL@
L
17-41
-24
+12.5
L
-12
3
GB logo
GB
W
13-10
+3
+8.5
W
2
4
DET logo
DET@
L
10-34
-24
+10
L
-45
5
MIN logo
MIN
L
17-21
-4
+3.5
L
18
6
PIT logo
PIT@
L
09-23
-14
+6.5
L
-13
7
MIA logo
MIA
W
31-06
+25
-2.5
W
52
8
NE logo
NE@
L
13-32
-19
+7
L
-12
9BYE WEEK
10
NYJ logo
NYJ@
L
20-27
-7
-2
L
-0
11
BAL logo
BAL
L
16-23
-7
+7.5
W
-3
12
OAK logo
OAK@
W
24-10
+14
+3
W
12
13
SF logo
SF
L
08-26
-18
+5.5
L
-25
14
TEN logo
TEN
L
29-31
-2
-3.5
L
-6
15
CHI logo
CHI@
12/14
-
+7.5
-
-
16
BUF logo
BUF
12/21
-
-
-
17
PIT logo
PIT
12/28
-
-
-
18
CIN logo
CIN@
01/04
-
-
-

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
-0.21
32nd
EPA / Pass
-0.27
32nd
EPA / Rush
-0.08
26th
Def. EPA / Play
-0.09
4th
EPA / Pass
-0.11
4th
EPA / Rush
-0.13
2nd
Sack EPA
-5.11
25th
Turnover EPA
-5.25
15th
Point Differential
-6.0
25th
Points For
17.2
29th
Points Against
23.2
17th
Total Yards
270.0
30th
Passing Yards
174.2
20th
Rushing Yards
95.8
27th
Total Yards Allowed
272.8
2nd
Passing Allowed
134.2
2nd
Rushing Allowed
107.7
13th

Conversions For

3rd Down
32%
29th
4th Down
44%
27th
Red Zone
58%
16th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
37%
10th
4th Down
50%
9th
Red Zone
57%
16th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.3
17th
Created
1.2
13th

Interceptions

Thrown
0.8
22nd
Created
0.8
12th

Fumbles

Lost
0.5
13th
Created
0.5
15th